Showing posts with label MLB 2015. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MLB 2015. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 1, 2015

Developed Teams 2015 Series

11/10/15
I've revived my Developed Teams project, starting with each team that participated in the 2015 postseason. Modeling myself after the incomparable MLB Trade Rumors, I'm compiling links to all the articles in this handy post, which will be updated to include all the teams (hopefully, eventually).

12/1/15
As it looks less and less likely that I'll continue posting developed teams recaps outside the context of a larger simulation project, I'm amending my divisional list to include fantasy point totals for each of the teams. This could help narrow things down into a playoff situation so I don't have to slog through a whole season's worth of simulations. But maybe I'll do things the long way, depending on how well the progress goes with my Arkhkam Knight Let's Play project. For now, let's see if the numbers tell us anything interesting:


AL East

AL Central
  • Minnesota Twins - 30,939
  • Kansas City Royals - 27,483
  • Cleveland Indians - 24,993
  • Chicago White Sox - 22,402
  • Detroit Tigers - 20,343

AL West

NL East
  • Atlanta Braves - 32,273
  • New York Mets - 30,148
  • Miami Marlins - 25,937
  • Washington Nationals - 25,663
  • Philadelphia Phillies - 24,677

NL Central

NL West
  • Arizona Diamondbacks - 35,806
  • Los Angeles Dodgers - 30,888
  • Colorado Rockies - 23,990
  • San Diego Padres - 23,410
  • San Francisco Giants - 21,641

As of today, these teams all have corresponding rosters in my copy of MLB 15: The Show, ready for some simulations! Based on these numbers, we could project a group of playoff teams based on the 30,000 point threshold, which would allow us to see some of the top teams play each other without having to simulate an entire lengthy season. Even though these results can be skewed by either a) a few extraordinary players or b) a glut of depth that wouldn't contribute to a playoff roster, I'm assuming this is what's happening, because I don't think I have the wherewithal to withstand the rigors of a full 162-game season, even though all the teams have a representative.

This method would give us two league leaders from the west coast: the Angels and Diamondbacks. This is somewhat surprising, not just since neither of these two teams made the playoffs, but also because the D-Backs are one of the two newest teams in baseball, which means they've had the least time to develop players. But adding a perennial Cy Young contender like Max Scherzer to a roster that already includes perennial MVP contender Paul Goldschmidt (plus adding in the breakout performance of A.J. Pollock and the typical solid production from Carlos Gonzalez, a player who I was THIS close to rewarding to the A's, along with pitcher Brett Anderson) gives this team the punch it needs to contend. The only standout performers on the Angels are Mike Trout and John Lackey, who helped the team win a world championship in 2002, but solid numbers all the way through give the Halos a surprising advantage.

That means the ALDS would feature the East champion Yankees, who, as a 2015 playoff team, were profiled earlier in this series of posts, and the Minnesota Twins, who actually came relatively close to a wild card berth last year behind the last season of hometown hero Torii Hunter, who nonetheless figures to play a significant role on this team. The two NL teams to meet in the first round are the St. Louis Cardinals (another 2015 playoff team) and the Atlanta Braves, a team (like the Twins) without a single 2,000 point scorer on the roster (Craig Kimbrel and Jason Heyward help though).

That leaves the Wild Card games, which in the NL takes the form of a rematch of last year's NLDS between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets. How sweet does a Kershaw/deGrom one-night-only event sound? Meanwhile, the AL Wild Card game mirrors the situation we saw in the NL last year, where both teams come from the same division. I already gave a sneak peek of how Seattle's fortunes might look, and I'm not necessarily tempering my high expectation for this club, especially given that King Felix can start the one-game playoff. But the power potential of the Rangers lineup means they've got a legitimate chance to go far, even if their pitching strength is more wide than tall.

Look for some combination of recaps with screenshots and videos in the near future, as I'll need a fix of baseball to get through this long and arduous offseason.

Tuesday, November 3, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: Kansas City Royals

Ladies and Gentlemen, without further ado, I give you the developed version of your 2015 World Champion Kansas City Royals! Would this team have been better off holding onto all of their developed prospects, or was the front office able to make the team better through trades and free agent signings? You decide!



Although I usually start with the batting order in these profiles, there's one player whose historic 2015 season jumps to the top of the list, and that's the NL leader in ERA, WHIP, and winning percentage, Zack Greinke. A first round pick back in 2002, the Orlando FL native won a Cy Young award seven years later for his original team, before being part of two high profile trades, first going to the Brewers, then to the Angels. In fact, the first Greinke trade points out an inherent flaw in the either/or statement from my intro paragraph, because it was that deal that netted Kansas City Jake Odorizzi, the number 2 pitcher on this staff (also World Series heroes Alcides Escobar and Lorenzo Cain). Sometimes shrewd roster moves lead to acquiring prospects at an early enough stage in their careers that the acquiring team can also be the developing team. Either way, Greinke and Odorizzi join two homegrown/current Royals, Yordano Ventura and Danny Duffy, to form a very formidable "playoff rotation" - even though Duffy was used out of the pen in the actual 2015 postseason.

The last spot in their "regular season rotation" comes down to a battle between three rookie left handers, all of whom have since left the franchise that drafted them. Mike Montgomery went to the Rays (along with the well-traveled Odorizzi and Wil Myers) in the megadeal for James Shields and Wade Davis, but didn't make his debut until heading to the Mariners in another trade prior to 2015. Meanwhile both Brandon Finnegan and John Lamb were dealt to Cincinnati this season in the Johnny Cueto deal, the results of which contributed in large part to the Royals' 2015 championship. In the bullpen, if Greg Holland can recover from his Tommy John surgery, he could return to elite status sometime in 2017. In the meantime, this club will have to rely on the hotheaded Kelvin Herrera, former Rays closer J.P. Howell, and former prospect Luke Hochevar for save opportunities. And let's also not forget injured reliever Aaron Crow and prospect Sean Manaea when evaluating this staff.

The starting lineup features a "core four" of sorts in super-clutch Eric Hosmer, dugout-yelling Mike Moustakas, World Series MVP Salvador Perez, and free agent to be Alex Gordon, all of whom were well-heralded prospects, and all of whom delivered on their promise. The highest upside position player to have left the team is the above mentioned Wil Myers, whose transition to center field will help create room in the outfield for another former Rookie of the Year Carlos Beltran. And if neither of their defensive skillsets impress you, don't forget about Jarrod Dyson on the bench. Speaking of the bench, one person who's not on it is Christian Colon - I opted for the more experienced Andres Blanco, who played in a career-high 106 games this year - but if Colon's World Series heroics lead to more regular playing time, I could see him eventually eclipsing super utility player Mike Aviles as the starting shortstop. Billy Butler and Johnny Giavotella both went to the AL West prior to 2015 and had disappointing and breakout seasons, respectively, despite the fact that their fantasy production wasn't all that different. It's funny how expectations, contract size, and positional scarcity work, isn't it?

So there are the developed team profiles for all 2015 postseason participants. I'll be continuing this series with no discernible order throughout the offseason, hopefully culminating in a simulated season using MLB 15: The Show. So until then, enjoy the hot stove season and keep obsessively checking MLB Trade Rumors for the latest news. I know I will!

Monday, November 2, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: New York Mets

While the New York Mets did not win the World Series for the first time in 29 years, they were one of the two teams who played in the last game of the season, and that's much better than most pundits predicted for this team, so 2015 can definitely be counted as several steps in the right direction for this franchise. Let's see how the Mets would look if they had somehow kept all the players that were developed in their minor league system:



If they chose to do so, this team could field the same infield that they used for the World Series, with old iron gloves Lucas Duda and Daniel Murphy on the right side, and shortstop of the future Wilmer Flores and "Captain America" David Wright continuing around the horn. But that's not accounting for the return of former face of the franchise Jose Reyes, who immediately slots in at the top of the order and the middle of the infield. Not only that, but he pushes Flores over to second base, allowing either Duda or Murphy to DH (while the other one plays first base), significantly improving the team's overall defense. Speaking of defense, it is also a strength of this outfield, two thirds of which has the defensive chops to play center field - while Carlos Gomez also has the offensive chops to anchor a batting order. I'm assuming Michael Conforto's performance in game 4 of the World Series alone earns him a spot in this lineup, but if you prefer experience and glovework, there's also defensive wiz Juan Lagares on the bench.

But the strength of this team, as with the real life National League Champion version, is its dominating young pitching. The entire playoff rotation of Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, and Steven Matz is present here, except I have Matz in long relief due to his small career sample size of only six starts. Syndergaard is a tough case because he was initially drafted by the Blue Jays and spent three years in their system before being traded to New York in the deal for R.A. Dickey, but he never advanced above Class A ball in Toronto and pitched more games in the Mets system. These four phenoms are joined by two 2015 Houston Astros teammates who helped their team make the playoffs, righty Collin McHugh and lefty Scott Kazmir, the former of which made his debut with the Mets while the latter was traded while still a prospect. In fact, this team could field a six-man rotation while still having plenty of long relief depth with both Jonathon Niese and Mike Pelfrey available out of the pen.

For the save opportunities, the developed Mets can trot out their real life closer in Jeurys Familia, who stepped up in a big way when projected closer Jenrry Mejia was hit with a pair of season-ending suspensions, and who should be able to bounce back after a couple of tough breaks in the playoffs. Joe Smith has been a good setup man for the Angels and Yusmeiro Petit has flourished as both a swingman and a dedicated reliever (despite never pitching for the big league version of the Mets). Overall this team features a solid if unspectacular and injury prone lineup supporting a historically dominant pitching staff. Tune in next time for the World Champion Kansas City Royals and then we can speculate on whether a developed World Series rematch might have gone differently than the actual version.

Saturday, October 24, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: Toronto Blue Jays

Through some smart roster construction, Toronto's front office created an offensive powerhouse, but their ragtag pitching staff couldn't tame the savage beast that is the Royals offense. The developed version of this squad has a very different look, but one that could still find less traditional or exciting ways to win:



The first thing to notice on this team is the predominance of excellent defenders. Ryan Goins routinely turned in gold glove quality plays in the playoffs and his middle infield partner Adeiny Hechavarria similarly turned heads in less meaningful games in Miami. Two of the three starting outfielders have the chops to play center field (Anthony Gose for the Tigers and Kevin Pillar for these Blue Jays) and they've also got one of the game's premier outfield gloves on the bench in Jake Marisnick. Yan Gomes has a sterling defensive reputation behind the plate to go with a solid emerging bat, and since this team has the luxury of two starting caliber backstops, Gomes and Travis d'Arnaud can switch off between catcher and DH. And they've also got enough quality backups (in addition to J.P. Arencibia, they've got non-roster options like Carlos Perez and Erik Kratz) to keep everyone fresh. In fact, the only gaping defensive hole is first baseman Adam Lind, but he's the team's best hitter, which covers all manner of sins.

More than anything, this pitching staff will rely on successful returns from all types of injuries and ailments to key players. Projected ace Marcus Stroman pitched like gangbusters after missing all but a month of the 2015 season with a knee injury. Henderson Alvarez only managed four subpar starts for the Marlins, but the year before he put up 30 starts of sub-3.00 ERA ball pitching behind an electric young ace (sound familiar?). Kendall Graveman ended the year on Oakland's disabled list and Daniel Norris was recently (and tragically) diagnosed with thyroid cancer. The only starter who is injury free is also the most mediocre, as Drew Hutchison severely underperformed his top 200 ranking prior to 2015.

There are depth options, such as veterans Shaun Marcum and Dustin McGowan, youngsters such as Sean Nolin and Matt Boyd, and replacement level types like Brad Mills. But the most intriguing option is Aaron Sanchez, who was used in the rotation early in the season, but then became the postseason long reliever of choice. If he stays in that role, Sanchez would join fellow rookie Roberto Osuna in the bullpen, the 20-year-old closer who I've nicknamed Roberto Poise-una for his staunch unflappable demeanor on the mound, even during intense high pressure situations. Brett Cecil and Sam Dyson had quiet but solid seasons as setup men, but the other two bullpen spots are pure upside plays. Miguel Castro began 2015 on Toronto's active roster with Osuna despite neither of them having any major league experience, but Castro didn't stick, and was later traded to Colorado in the Jose Reyes trade. Marc Rzepczynski is mostly on this roster because of his awesome name, but he does have a long history of being a quality LOOGY - however these last two spots could just as easily have gone to Ryan Tepera (296 / 9.3) and Aaron Loup (278 / 4.6).

Thursday, October 22, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: Chicago Cubs

After dispatching their division (series) rival Cardinals in four games, the Chicago Cubs were beaten handily by the Mets - they never even once had a lead in the four game sweep. But with a savvy front office ready to supplement a crop of some of the game's best prospects, the real-life Cubs could find themselves at the top of the NL Central for years to come. Let's see how they stack up with their developed counterparts:



The presence of four rookies at key positions in this starting lineup is evidence of how weak this developed Cubs team was until recently. Kris Bryant should run away with the NL Rookie of the Year award and should also get serious consideration in the MVP conversation. Kyle Schwarber has shown a seriously potent bat in his first callup to the majors this year, but although he was a catcher throughout most of his minor league career, the Cubs used him primarily as an outfielder (and exclusively so during the playoffs). Maybe management wanted to let the pitching staff throw to familiar receivers behind the plate in such high stakes situations. Either way, with catching options such as the well-traveled Welington Castillo, Rangers projected starter Robinson Chirinos, and non-rostered options Geovany Soto and Steve Clevenger, leaving Schwarber in the developed outfield seems to make sense. Jorge Soler showed a knack for postseason performance in his rookie campaign, and could develop into the next Cuban slugging sensation. And fellow powerfully-built rookie Justin Bour (both have 6'4" frames) has hit for the same power he showed as a minor leaguer in Chicago since being giving a chance to start in Miami.

The former All-Star Starlin Castro was forced from shortstop to second base in the real-life Cubs' infield by prospect Addison Russell, but he's only the developed Cubs' second-best second sacker behind breakout first time All-Star DJ LeMahieu. This means Castro could be shifted back to short, unless he is pushed to the DH spot by prospect Javier Baez. And that's not even factoring in fellow stalled but potent prospect Arismendy Alcantara. Either way, this infield outside of Bryant is filled with enigmatic characters with high upsides but short and/or questionable track records. But fortunately they've also got two of the most versatile and competent backups (Marwin Gonzalez and Ryan Flaherty) should things go amiss.

Things have an even greater chance of going amiss in the rotation, and with a significantly weaker backup plan. The rotation set forth above assumes the top two arms will revert back to the mean between their excellent 2014's and disappointing 2015's. Prior to this season, Jeff Samardzija was ranked inside the top 100 players in baseball, and the previous summer he was valued highly enough by Oakland to give up 6 seasons of above-average projected production at SS (the above-mentioned Russell) for just 1.5 seasons of the Shark's work. And Andrew Cashner showed top of the rotation stuff for San Diego in 2014, averaging an amount of points per game that would have placed him in the top 40 in 2015. But both struggled mightily this year, resulting in mid-rotation stalwart Kyle Hendricks to emerge as this team's top pitching scorer. This is not an inspiring staff ace, as I would compare Hendricks's production to that of a healthy Ricky Nolasco type, who's on this team, but who hasn't been effective in a couple of years. But the most unexpected 2015 bright spot in this rotation was Rich Hill's magnificent four-start stretch, which could possibly have earned him a major league deal this offseason after being inked to two different minor league pacts in 2015.

Rotation depth is not pretty, as rookie Zack Godley had some encouraging results in his debut stint with the Diamondbacks, but Chris Rusin looked just as bad with the Rockies. Maybe these Chicago guys should stay away from the West Coast. Although that's not the case for rookie reliever Tony Zych who had another great debut for the Mariners. He doesn't, however, profile as a closer, which gives him something in common with all the other relievers on this staff. The one with the most MLB experience is longtime Tigers setup man Al Alburquerque, but he's hardly ever gotten a chance to prove himself in late and close situations with only 1 Save (in 2 opportunities) in his 5-year career. But despite its inconsistencies, this squad has a lot of personality and a lot of talent, and I predict big things for some of these ex-Cubs as we move past the failed prediction of Back to the Future.

Saturday, October 17, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: Los Angeles Dodgers

In what could end up being Don Mattingly's final game managing the Dodgers, the only franchise that plays in Los Angeles lost one of the closest and tensest games in recent memory to Jacob deGrom, Daniel Murphy, and the surging New York Mets. Many of the players who contributed to that losing effort were developed by the very same team for which they now play, but many more weren't, so let's take a look at how the developed Dodgers stack up:



Let's start at the top of the order and examine the offseason trade that very well might have cost Los Angeles the chance to advance to the next round of the playoffs. The Dodgers top brass apparently thought Dee Gordon's strategy of slapping singles and using his speed to make a difference on the base paths was unsustainable, so they embarked on a flurry of moves that essentially boiled down to trading Gordon straight up for Howie Kendrick. That move didn't work out quite as planned, as Kendrick's late season injury prompted the acquisition of Chase Utley, who broke Ruben Tejada's leg on a needlessly reckless slide into second base during the division series, effectively poisoning whatever good karma Los Angeles might have stored up. Meanwhile, Dee Gordon won the batting title and led the league in steals for Miami. Another recently departed Dodger is Matt Kemp: he was traded to the Padres this offseason despite two balky knees, but ended up eclipsing the production of all six Dodgers right fielders combined in 2015 (they averaged 1,743 points and 10.8 ppg).

Among the other high profile members of this offense to have left Los Angeles, Adrian Beltre and Russell Martin made solid contributions in a Dodger uniform, making a combined four playoff appearances with the club and a combined $75.5 million on the contracts they signed directly after leaving the club via free agency. Neither Carlos Santana nor Franklin Gutierrez made their debuts with the Dodgers, but received plenty of minor league seasoning in the organization before both being traded to Cleveland for Casey Blake and Milton Bradley, respectively. Gutierrez had a very successful 59 games with Seattle this year after missing all of 2014, which (along with his sterling defensive reputation) earned him a starting outfield spot on this squad, while Santana is slated to play first base. If Gutierrez can't maintain this level of production for a full season, Matt Kemp can shift to the outfield, Santana could DH, and James Loney could slot in at first. And last but not least are the current Dodgers rookies - if you could combine Joc Pederson's first half with Corey Seager's second half, you would have a Rookie of the Year candidate to rival Kris Bryant on the Cubs.

At the top of the rotation, you could not ask for a better pitcher than Clayton Kershaw, but after the lefty from Texas, things get a little dicey. Hyun-Jin Ryu, another special foreign import case, missed all of 2015 due to injury, but he has the talent to slot behind Kershaw in that rotation when healthy. Nathan Eovaldi and Rubby De La Rosa both ranked near the bottom of Baseball America's top 100 prospect list exactly once, and they've filled out into decent mid-rotation talents. I put Carlos Frias in the fifth starter slot because he saw some decent playing time in his rookie campaign, but he would definitely have some competition from former rotation mainstay Chad Billingsley or current Dodgers minor leaguer Eric Stults. Edwin Jackson, a starter for most of his career, found a new lease on life in the bullpen for the Cubs and Braves, so he's probably not an option. Let's just say I'm sure these developed Dodgers wish that Hiroki Kuroda didn't move back to Japan to retire.

Kenley Jansen is currently the Dodgers closer, and one of the best in the game at that. He's set up by Shawn Tolleson who blossomed into the closer for the Rangers this year, supplanting Neftali Feliz about a month before he was traded to the Tigers. Pedro Baez is perhaps better known for unsuccessfully entering playoff games in relief of Clayton Kershaw than for being the 9th-hardest throwing pitcher in 2015, but he could very well blossom into a good setup man as well. One pitcher who's not on this roster but has a good chance to bounce back given the right circumstances is Jonathan Broxton, a former setup man and closer who made his way back to the playoffs with St. Louis this year. Overall, the developed Dodgers look very top heavy in all areas (lineup, rotation, and bullpen), but given the best or near-best case scenarios for some of their prospects, and this team could be a force to be reckoned with.

Friday, October 16, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: Houston Astros

Nobody expected the Astros to be contenders this year, but they surprised the world by nearly winning the AL West and then taking the defending AL Champion Royals to within six outs of elimination before snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. But the point is that Houston's rebuilding effort came to fruition sooner than expected, helped along by some shrewd trades and free agent signings, so we can expect this team to be contenders for the foreseeable future.



The three key pieces of this lineup that are also the backbone of Houston's real life lineup are Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, and George Springer, all of whom have the potential to be perennial All-Stars. The best offensive outfield alignment features the athletic Springer in center field, flanked by recent breakout star J.D. Martinez (whose 38 home runs are all the more impressive when you consider he plays his home games in spacious Comerica Park) and Hunter Pence (who played extremely well for the short time he was able to take the field in 2015 due to injuries). However, given that both Pence and Martinez routinely put up negative defensive WAR, it makes the most sense to use speedy Rule 5 pick Delino DeShields (Jr.) in the outfield with one of the aforementioned sluggers moving to DH. For solid fifth and sixth outfielders, look no further than 2015 rookies Preston Tucker and Domingo Santana, or if you prefer the lower upside veteran route, there are names such as Brandon Barnes and J.B. Shuck.

The spectacular middle infield and corner outfield logjam presents a problem of how to get switch hitting super utility man Ben Zobrist in the lineup, who spent the better part of three years in Houston's minor league system as opposed to just 18 games with Tampa Bay's before making his debut. Zobrist has played everywhere except pitcher and catcher during his eight year career, but the two spots at which he has the least experience are the two open spots in this defensive alignment: first base (17 games) and third base (9 games). But with Chris Johnson and Jon Singleton the next best options at the corners, Zorilla is going to have to learn a relatively new position - something that hasn't been difficult for him in the past. Another trouble spot is catcher, where John Buck would have to come out of retirement in order to provide Jason Castro a backup with any major league experience whatsoever.

After Dallas Keuchel, who should win the AL Cy Young Award this year, this pitching staff is a bit of a mess, but it's not without promise. Lance McCullers took the baseball world by storm with his Batman cleats and solid pitching in his first appearance on my database (hence the green highlight in his Pos 2 column) and he's joined by fellow rookies Nick Tropeano (seven starts for the Angels), Vincent Velasquez (seven starts and 12 relief appearances), and Mike Foltynewicz (15 starts for the Braves). Jarred Cosart and Jordan Lyles are former top 100 prospects whose development has staled somewhat, but the dream is definitely still alive for the Marlins and Rockies, respectively. And then Wandy Rodriguez and Bud Norris are both veterans who lost their rotation spots this year, but who could still eat up innings for an inconsistent staff.

All these pitchers will have to jump back and forth between the rotation and the bullpen, because the handful of full-time relievers developed by the Astros leaves quite a bit to be desired. Matt Albers put up the best stats in 2015, but Chad Qualls is the only one with significant closing experience, and Fernando Abad has proven himself just "A-bad" pitcher... WHATEVER I'M AN A'S FAN, I COULDN'T RESIST. The fortunes of this staff might change if/when prospects such as Mark Appel, Asher Wojciechowski, Michael Feliz, and Rio Ruiz come to fruition, but for now this staff could be a good opportunity to experiment with mixing and matching pitchers in a designated short start/long relief strategy rather than a traditional five-man rotation. Now I just have to figure out how to program that strategy into MLB 15: The Show for my planned simulations using these rosters.

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: Texas Rangers

Both teams from Texas were eliminated from the 2015 postseason within hours of each other, but since the Rangers and Blue Jays played earlier in the day, here's a lineup made from the best homegrown players that came out of the Texas Rangers organization:



The first things to notice are that Texas has developed an abundance of both starting pitchers and first baseman. While you can never have too much of the former, too much of the latter can be a defensive liability, so let's talk about how to get them all in the lineup. Chris Davis is going to be the most talked-about first baseman of the hot stove season as he bounced back from a forgettable 2014 to lead the league in home runs in his walk year, but he's the most likely to spend the least time at first base on this squad. Not only did he play enough right field for the Orioles in 2015 to qualify as a fantasy outfielder (20 games), but if you turn the sample size clock back a year, he also qualified at third base while filling in for the injured Manny Machado in 2014. Even though Machado was healthy (and spectacular) for all 162 games last year, that doesn't mean Davis lost his ability (however questionable) to man the hot corner if necessary. Mark Teixeira was on his way to a season comparable to Davis's when he went down with a shin fracture in September, and he's also the most gifted defensive first baseman of the bunch, so it makes sense for him to get most of the work in the field when healthy. Mitch Moreland has very limited experience in right field (he hasn't played there regularly since 2012), so he'll likely occupy the DH spot for the majority of the time.

Second base is almost as equally stacked: Ian Kinsler is one of the best in the league, Rougned Odor proved that he has a very playable skillset, and there's also oft-injured superprospect Jurickson Profar waiting in the wings. The left side of the infield is spotty in that it relies on prospects that have yet to prove themselves at the big league level. Joey Gallo came up briefly this year when Adrian Beltre was injured, and played almost equal parts third base and left field (though not enough to qualify for either position), while the best option at shortstop is prospect Luis Sardinas who likewise didn't get enough games to qualify at either middle infield spot for the Brewers. There's also the curious case of Odubel Herrera who played primarily middle infield in his minor league career with Texas, but was used exclusively in center field after being taken in the Rule 5 Draft by the Phillies. Moving Herrera back to shortstop could be an option, but the lack of other impact outfield bats (the other three options, at least one of which would have to play, averaged just over 6 fantasy points per game in 2015) makes me question whether that move would be worth it.

Texas's number one developed starter wasn't developed in the minors at all, but rather imported from Japan; but since a healthy Yu Darvish would be an ace on most clubs (with the exception of the Dodgers, the Nationals, both Chicago franchises, and wherever Zack Greinke and David Price end up), he's simply too good to leave out of this project. The rotation after Darvish features a grouping of four pitchers with remarkably similar skill levels, at least where fantasy baseball is concerned: Edinson Volquez, R.A. Dickey, Colby Lewis, and C.J. Wilson all fell within two points per game of the 47.8 average between them. They're similarly stacked in the long relief department, where they have three more legitimate starters ready to take the mound. There is the injury factor to be concerned about - in addition to Darvish, who missed all of 2015, Wilson, Jesse Chavez, and Scott Feldman all ended the season on the DL, while Derek Holland didn't start pitching regularly until August. But just check out the depth this team has waiting in the "Developed Minor Leagues" - veterans John Danks and Aaron Harang, once and future real-life Rangers rotation hopefuls Martin Perez, Nick Martinez, and Chi Chi Gonzalez, and recently departed Jerad Eickhoff, who had a stellar debut for the Phillies after being involved in the Cole Hamels trade.

For the back end of the bullpen, Texas has Joaquin Benoit, who was projected to close in 2015 up until moments before the first game when the Padres made a last minute trade for Craig Kimbrel, and Robbie Ross Jr., who ended the season as Boston's closer, but will likely be relegated to lefty specialist on this team. Keone Kela had a solid rookie season for his homegrown team and Justin Grimm filled up some meaningful innings for the Cubs. And as for veteran depth pieces, they've also got former bullpen stalwarts Neftali Feliz and Alexi Ogando waiting in the wings. But what distinguishes this team is that all but three players on this roster - Rule 5 pick Odubel Herrera, reserve outfielder Jason Bourgeois, and long reliever Jesse Chavez - made their debuts for the actual Rangers, showing this organization's willingness to shepherd their homegrown players up to the majors.

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: St. Louis Cardinals

The first postseason meeting between longtime rivals Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals turned out to be the only 2015 Division Series that didn't go the full five games. And that small misstep by the Cardinals makes 2015's only 100-game winning team the next franchise to be profiled for my developed teams project:



Let's start at the top of the order because that's where we'll find the lineup's leading point scorer. Matt Carpenter doesn't profile as a typical leadoff hitter, but he started hitting for more power when he moved to the #1 spot, so I see no reason to change things. If Carpenter and Albert Pujols are the offensive leaders of this team, Yadier Molina is its spiritual leader, providing excellent defense and setting a great example in the clubhouse. Some young players who could benefit from this example (Kolten Wong, Stephen Piscotty, Tommy Pham) will likely be important parts of the Cardinals' real-life lineup for the foreseeable future, even if none of them project as superstars.

In fact, outside those three above-mentioned veterans, there's not a whole lot of star power in this lineup; despite Colby Rasmus's breakout postseason as the Astros' cleanup hitter, for which he'll collect a tidy sum in free agency. But the unspectacular lineup is offset by a consistently strong pitching staff. Each starter, one through five, has ace potential given the right circumstances, but none are without their significant question marks. Michael Wacha and Carlos Martinez both led the real-life Cardinals at points this season, but both also missed time with injuries. Jaime Garcia had the best 2015 of the group, but his inability to stay on the field is well documented. Shelby Miller had a dominant first half with the Braves but faded significantly down the stretch; maybe his lack of run support all season eventually took its toll.

But if (when some of the big names gst injured, there are solid backup options. Whether or not Dan Haren decides to strap on his glove for another year, and despite his propensity for giving up home runs, he's a great option for long relief / spot starter duty for our purposes. Then in the minors behind Joe Kelly (back from the Red Sox) is St. Louis's top actual spot starting option Tyler Lyons. I see a lot of similarities between this pitching staff and the one the Mets are using this postseason in that they have multiple starters available for quality work out of the pen.

These startets only make St. Louis's cadre of capable full time relievers all the more impressive. Very few closers in the game match up favorably against Trevor Rosenthal, including slider specialist Luke Gregerson (who spent the brunt of his minor league seasoning in the Cardinals system before making his debut with San Diego), but that's fine as he's also proved himself a dominant setup man in his career. The rest of the bullpen includes former closer Jason Motte (who rejuvenated his career with the Cubs) and future closer Adam Ottavino (once he gets back to action with the Rockies.) Even lefty setup man Kevin Siegrist closed a few games this year, in addition to leading the league with 81 appearances. I don't foresee a lot of lost leads for this club.

Thursday, October 8, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates are the next team eliminated from the 2015 postseason, falling victim to the brilliance of Jake Arrieta and the Cubs in the NL Wild Card Game. But it wasn't for lack of effort from a mostly homegrown roster, which many pundits believe is the best and most well-rounded in the sport. Check out how similar their developed lineup is to their current lineup in the chart below:



You'll notice that there's only one developed starting position player not currently with the Pirates, but Jose Bautista is a big time threat that can change the shape of any lineup. You'll also notice that there are nine position players in said lineup, despite the fact that Pittsburgh plays in the NL, which is because I've decided to include a DH for each team. I'm not shy about supporting the universal implementation of the DH, despite the protests from certain members of the Giants (which basically boil down to, "We have a good hitting pitcher, so it benefits our team not to change the rules"), and since I did all the work on this project, we're gonna do it my way. Meanwhile, Bautista will slot into the full time DH slot because the Bucs already have three pretty darn good outfielders.

The fact that this lineup is almost exactly the same as what they trotted out on the field for 2015 makes it one of the least interesting to analyze. I could simply refer you to an article such as Grantland's NL Central Preview (and keep in mind that Jordy Mercer would have a spot on this team if it weren't for Jung Ho Kang's emergence this year). They even reacquired third baseman Aramis Ramirez, who was originally a Pirate before spending most of his career as a member of the Cubs. Brock Holt and Rajai Davis are both great additions to the bench because the former can play litrally anywhere on the diamond and the latter's base stealing ability makes him a superb pinch hitting candidate. The only black hole in the lineup is behind the plate, where none of the candidates have even eclipsed 100 games in their respective careers.

The pitching staff is another story, and it's a sad one once you get past bona fide ace Gerrit Cole. Chris Young (the tall white pitcher, not the average-height black outfielder) had somewhat of a resurgence with Seattle last year, but found himself pitching in relief with Kansas City more often than your #2 starter should be. Jeff Locke has shown that he might be able to stick in a major league rotation, and while that doesn't sound like a glowing endorsement, it isn't. After those three, you're stuck with five options who started a combined total of one game in 2015 (Casey Sadler's winning effort on April 12, after which he landed on the 60-day disabled list. That's what the orange highlight in the Bat/Throw column is for, by the way - Tony Sanchez's blue means he is on the 40-man roster, but in the minor leagues). Bronson Arroyo and Brandon Cumpton were injured for the whole year and Tom Gorzelanny hasn't started a major league game since 2013.

One guy who used to start while with the Pirates is Zach Duke, but he moved to the bullpen full time four years ago and hasn't looked back (except for that one spot start he had with the Nationals in 2013). He's one of four lefties in the pen, including projected closer Tony Watson, who has never been a closer in real life, but his 41 holds in 2015 prove that he doesn't crack under pressure. This is not a terrible bullpen by any means, but it's not the type of lights out relief corps you want to support a rotation as spotty as this one.

Wednesday, October 7, 2015

Developed Teams 2015: New York Yankees

It's hard for me to blog regularly during the baseball playoffs. There are a lot of writers who are a lot closer to the action and a lot better equipped to respond to the real time momentum shifts of a tense postseason series than I, who tends to focus more on abstract, big picture topics. One such topic is one that I've explored at length several years ago (and teased briefly earlier this year), the Developed Teams Project. Now with the 2015 regular season in the books and my copy of MLB 15: The Show purchased, I figured this would be the perfect time to reboot this project, using order of elimination from the playoffs as a guide for which teams to profile first. Since the AL Wild Card Game occurred a day before the NL's play-in extravaganza, that puts the New York Yankees in the spotlight first.



Obviously the salary and free agency columns of this chart are irrelevant for our developed team purposes, but it's still nice to get a little perspective on where these players are in their careers. For example Robinson Cano, the heart and soul of this offense, just struck free agency gold, signing the largest contract in Mariners history, and is justifiably the developed Yankees' highest paid player. Number two on that list, Japanese ace Masahiro Tanaka, brings up the same inherent problem with this project that I touched on in the above-linked sneak peek. Seeing as Tanaka was already a star in his home country for seven years before he came stateside, the Yankees didn't have a hand in his development at all. But foreign imports like Tanaka are too important to the baseball landscape to simply leave out, so I've decided to give the importing team the same status as a more traditional player's developing team. So voila: instant $20mm ace.

These Yankees also have a pair of $10mm outfielders - Brett Gardner and Melky Cabrera (a star of this year's AL All-Acquired team) who would solidify the top of any batting order. The positions in left hand columns are based on actual 2015 stats, so you'll have to use your imagination to populate the depth chart sometimes - in this case placing Gardner and Austin Jackson to their secondary positions. Another brief word on the outfield, and to explain why I put three catchers on the roster: slugging DH Jimmy Paredes has played some RF and 3B in his brief career (neither of them well), but putting up with his weak defense would allow Dioner Navarro to log more time at DH.

If I were taking on this project prior to 2015 as opposed to after it, the infield corners would constitute gaping black holes, with failed catching prospect Jesus Montero the best option at first and Paredes basically forced into playing third. But two rookies - prospect Greg Bird for the Yanks and longtime minor league outfielder Adonis Garcia for the Braves, making his first appearance in my baseball database - stepped up and logged some pretty solid innings. Meanwhile Eduardo Nunez will be the first shortstop to start on a developed Yankees team in nearly two decades.

But rather than dwell on Yankees history, let's talk about the elements of New York's future that appear on this team. In addition to Greg Bird, whose immediate future is unclear with Mark Teixeira under contract for another year, Rob Refsnyder and Luis Severino look to be important cogs in the Yankees machine for years to come at 2B and SP, respectively. Severino will likely slot behind lefty Jose Quintana, who is an interesting case because he was neither initially signed nor did he make his MLB debut with the Yankees. However, given that he only managed 3 games in relief in the Mets system then spent four whole years in the Yankees farm system before debuting with the White Sox the same year in which he was acquired, his presence on this team is perfectly justified.

Once-vaunted prospects Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes underperformed expectations this year, but given that they occupy the four and five spots in the rotation with ample spot starter / long relief options lined up behind them, the starting staff looks pretty solid. But the real strength of this club is the bullpen, which features the legitimate three-headed monster of Mark Melancon, David Robertson, and Dellin Betances. There's no way all three of these relief aces equal their 2015 fantasy point totals with just one team's worth of save chances to go around, but they will give the starters an immense amount of confidence knowing that they only have to go six innings in a close game.

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Astrology Baseball 2015 Playoffs

"Why are you an Oakland A's fan? Didn't you grow up in LA?"

I get this question a lot as I meet more and more people who are interested in baseball. I explain the context about how I was introduced to the sport (at least from a fan's perspective) by my family in the East Bay, and thus I adopted their affiliations. But this answer misses the bigger picture perspective of that question, which is that we're ALL fans of specific teams in order to reduce the wide world of sports down to a manageable size. Most baseball fans don't have the time or energy to keep track of all 30 MLB teams, so they pick one franchise to follow closely and use as a lens through which to view the vast landscape of the sport.

This is probably a similar motivation for a lot of people who play fantasy sports, or at least those who play for something other than the thrill of the competition. Fans who don't have a particular team to root for - or fans whose team is perennially out of contention - can follow the players on their fantasy teams to keep from getting overwhelmed. But for those who don't want to go through the trouble of maintaining a fantasy team throughout the season, yet still want a team to root for, there's always the Fantasy Astrology League.

Since my fantasy team was eliminated from the playoffs last week, I've suddenly got a new found interest in the league featuring one team for each of the 12 signs of the zodiac. I must admit that I've paid little attention to this project for the past four months, which means the teams whose projected starters remained injury- and slump-free had a distinct advantage. But despite my inactivity, we're seeing mostly familiar faces in the final four: three-time champion Libra is joined by fellow playoff regulars Aries and Virgo. The one unexpected participant is Pisces, a team that had never before posted a winning record. Let's take a look at the pieces that contributed to each team's success.


Wednesday, August 12, 2015

If the Season Ended Today: All-Star Break 2015 - League Leaders

So almost a month after this would be relevant, here's finally the league leaders, the two teams that would get a bye if the season ended at the All-Star Break. These two teams would still have that privilege, but since we're passed the trade deadline, they both look significantly different. But here's the image I made anyway:





Monday, July 27, 2015

If the Season Ended Today: All-Star Break 2015 - Division Series

I pose to you a two-part hypothetical situation. 1) What if today was the first day of the All-Star Break. 2) What if the season ended today. If both of those statements are true, this is what the first ALDS matchup would look like. The second matchup would be dependent on the winner of one of the similarly hypothetical Wild Card rounds.



Thursday, July 23, 2015

If the Season Ended Today: All-Star Break 2015 - Wild Card Round

When the All-Star Break comes around, all of my baseball attention (and most of my life attention) is spent on updating the massive Excel spreadsheet that tracks the roster status and fantasy progess of every player in the major leagues. The existence of this database gives the lie to a piece of advice from The Dark Knight Joker: If you're good at something, never do it for free. Problem is, I don't have any time to find someone to pay for the creation of such a database - because I've spent all my time on creating the database itself.

But that's fine, because creating the database is a complete labor of love, what some would probably describe as flow activity, whatever that means. It's also something I do pretty compulsively, so I try to find ways to spread it out, timewise, to prevent overflow of influx of information. One such way is to whittle the database down into a manageable size, e.g. a playoff bracket constructed as if the season ended today - although rather than today, I'll use the All-Star Break.

First is the Wild Card round in the NL, cuz it's the closest contest - not between the two participants, but rather between the contestants for the second wild card spot. As of the All-Star Break, the Chicago Cubs just beat out the New York Mets by mere percentage points for the right to face the Pittsburgh Pirates. Below is an infographic featuring a selection from my database showing projected lineups of each team, along with all the copious information contained for each player.








Monday, May 18, 2015

My All-Star Ballot 2015

MLB.com has been promoting its online All-Star balloting since what seems like the first week of the season, but I've held out on voting until today because it just seems wrong to judge midseason All-Stars with less than 1.5 months of the season gone by. So today I weighed all the pros and cons and fantasy point totals of each candidate and voted the maximum of 35 times (with my primary email address, I may or may not have several more rounds of voting in the tank) for the players I found the most deserving. Here are the graphics provided my MLB upon submitting my ballot:





Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Developed Teams 2015 SNEAK PEEK: Seattle Mariners

Last night, I made a the decision that I would preorder a bundle including a brand new PS4 and the much-anticipated title Batman: Arkham Knight (Arkham KUUUUHHHHH-neegit in Monty Python speak). I made this decision because I cannot, in good conscience, live in a world where this game exists and is within my reasonable grasp, and for some reason choose to deny myself the experience of playing it. For better or worse, that's not the person I want to be in 2015. This is arguably the culmination of most impressive depiction of the character of Batman that we've ever seen in a video game universe, and I would like my front-row seats, please.

This game doesn't come out until June 23, which also happens to be one day after my wedding anniversary, which I took as a good omen - also making it a day I'm sure not to forget. That means I have a little over a month to finish up all my outstanding business with the PS3 games: not only the journey of Hunter S. Batman, professional baseball player (his picture is at the top of this blog), but also a spousal run through of The LEGO Movie: The Video Game, and a recent spousal gift of Mortal Kombat vs. DC Universe - a veritable blast from the past that I somehow missed and am excited to finally check out.

But with the new system comes the possibility of new games on which to stage new baseball related projects. This is the area of my social media space that usually gets the least traffic, but it's the topic about which I'm most compelled to write, for some reason. I guess not all amateur journalists are created equal. In any event, the project I am envisioning is a rehashing of my Developed Teams project, presented on the shiny new stage of MLB 15: The Show.

As a preliminary first step, I created projected lineups for all 30 Major League teams, in preparation for simulating a season (or at least a postseason) with all (or at least 10) of these teams. I'm providing this sneak peek because it seems right to riff on my findings so far, even though this project is weeks from phase 2, so to speak - I likely won't get started building rosters or simulating games until after the All-Star Break, using the half-season's worth of sample size to inform my choices, somewhat like my Hometown project last year. Plus I'll need time to finish Arkham Knight, hopefully with a blog-related project attached! But for now, here's the first look at this year's version of the project: the developed starting lineup for the Seattle Mariners:


As a spoiler alert for my whole project: this team might not just be the strongest developed team in the AL West, but it might even have what it takes to win it all. Every player on this squad except one has spent time with Seattle’s big league club, but it’s that one who might tip the scales in this team’s favor. Most baseball fans know that David Ortiz made his major league debut with the Twins before becoming a star with the Red Sox. But I’ll bet a lot fewer people know that Big Papi spent his first three professional seasons in Seattle’s minor league system (where he was known as David Arias), as opposed to just part of one in Minnesota before his first call up to the majors.

A great deal of this team’s success, however, hinges on Ortiz being able to strap on the glove regularly, because after him on the 1B depth chart are guys like Willie Bloomquist (who will be around until he’s Jamie Moyer’s age), Jesus Guzman (currently playing in Japan), and Greg Dobbs (currently unemployed). One other option is to slide Alex Rodriguez across the diamond - he has one game at 1B this year (or one fewer than Ortiz), plus two more in Spring Training, but his superior athleticism could make him a better fit for the position.

The fact that Ortiz was traded for just 28 games of Dave Hollins in 1996 is just slightly less cringe-worthy than looking at the deal that sent Adam Jones and Chris Tillman (among others) to the Orioles for Erik Bedard, who managed just 46 games for Seattle. Tillman spent enough time in the O’s system before making his debut that I awarded him to Baltimore, but at least the Mariners get the AL’s batting leader Jones back into the fold for this project.

Felix Hernandez is a legitimate homegrown talent, but the presence of Hisashi Iwakuma brings up an inherent problem with the Developed Teams project. Iwakuma was already a known quantity with 11 seasons in Nippon Professional Baseball before being signed by the Mariners, and he didn’t need any “development” in the minors. But guys like him and Ichiro (on this team’s bench) and Masahiro Tanaka are too talented to leave off any roster, so I guess I’ll just have to reward the teams that are savvy enough to import them.

The fact that Rafael Soriano doesn't have a team for which to play right now (although that might change soon as he's reportedly in discussions with the Marlins) doesn't change the fact that he still has shut-down ninth-inning stuff. It's also a deep group behind him: Tom Wilhelmsen has closed before, and he's joined by such solid yet lesser-known arms as Yoervis Medina, Shawn Kelley, Scott Atchison, Dominic Leone. There's even another plus lefty (Eric O'Flaherty) in case Thornton falters. The rotation also has some upside if top prospects James Paxton and Taijuan Walker ever get their acts together.

So there you have it: your first taste of my Developed Teams project updated for 2015. Stay tuned for more analysis leading up to the actual game simulation!

Friday, May 1, 2015

Fantasy Astrology 2015: Rebalancing for May

I'm reading a book about personal finances and investing right now, and one of the principles for maintaining a healthy portfolio is regular rebalancing. For example, if you start out with 60% of your investment capital in stocks and 40% in bonds, but one of your stocks has a dramatic rise in value, in addition to having more total money, your percentage will be more heavily weighted towards stocks. Thus you have to "rebalance" your portfolio by selling some of your stocks and buying some more bonds, so that you don't expose yourself to excessive risk.

I've taken a similar approach with the 12 rosters in my Fantasy Astrology project, making sure each roster has the best players in the starting lineup and adding hot performers from the waiver wire. Experts say that you should rebalance your financial portfolio on a quarterly or even yearly basis, but since keeping up with fantasy astrology stats is also beneficial for my personal fantasy team, I've decided to rebalance the astrology lineups on a monthly basis.

Below is a link to each astrology team's roster page - because they are apparently viewable to the public - along with some top performers on each team and a summary of any notable changes made since the beginning of the season. Since it's too early for the standings to mean much, I'm sorting the teams by the mysterious "Points For" category from ESPN's fantasy client.

1. Aries Rams

Offensive leader Miguel Cabrera is going to be the top performer on most of the fantasy teams that he's on, but Lorenzo Cain deserves honorable mention for already putting up more than 300 fantasy points and taking the charge of the hot-starting Royals. Felix Hernandez is the number two pitcher in the sport, trailing only Dallas Keuchel in total points, but this team has had rockstar pitching performances from Matt Harvey, Jake Odorizzi, and Anthony DeSclafani, the latter of whom wasn't even on the roster to start the year.

Odorizzi and DeSclafani replace the injured Hisashi Iwakuma and the surprisingly disappointing Chris Sale (who might be feeling some effects from his offseason foot injury) in the rotation. Defending AL Cy Young winner Corey Kluber has also been struggling, but he keeps his spot for now. With Koji Uehara returning from the DL, he replaces pirates closer Mark Melancon next to David Robertson in the bullpen. It also might be time for third baseman Adrian Beltre to officially pass the torch to Nolan Arenado.


2. Virgo Maidens

Virgo has three All-Star caliber first basemen on their roster: Paul Goldschmidt is a no brainer, but I ended up making the wrong decision for the DH slot, starting Freddie Freeman over Joey Votto to start the year. I also made the wrong decision in center field, but the rankings overwhelmingly supported Jacoby Ellsbury over Billy Hamilton, so I don't blame myself much. Backup catcher Nick Hundley is getting playing time with John Jaso hitting the DL early. And the last change I made was replacing struggling shortstop Ian Desmond with Marcus Semien, who is quietly becoming the most effective healthy shortstop in the AL

Gerrit Cole has been the leader in the pitching department, showing that he might be ready to reach his number one overall pick potential. Adan Wainwright's injury is definitely a blow to this pitching staff, but luckily they had his Cardinals teammate Carlos Martinez waiting on the bench. The bullpen also got a boost since Wade Davis is picking up saves for Kansas City with Derek Holland hurt.


3. Leo Lions

Mike Trout and Adam Jones are a beastly outfield combo, and there's a good chance that pair will be starting alongside either Nelson Cruz or Hanley Ramirez in this year's All-Star Game. Alex Rodriguez's resurgence has earned him a lineup spot, especially given Jason Heyward's struggles. Wilmer Flores isn't a big upgrade over Chris Owings, but I figured I'd let the young kid have his shot.

The top pitching performer on this team has actually been closer Huston Street, although Max Scherzer would likely claim that title if he had been able to make his scheduled start before getting injured while swinging his "wet newspaper" at the plate. There was a lot of turnover in this pitching staff as unforseeable circumstances caused Joaquin Benoit to become obsolete, and the strong early performances of Brandon Morrow, Jesse Hahn, and Nick Martinez (a waiver wire addition) easily eclipsed Clay Buchholz, Taijuan Walker, and Drew Hutchison.


4. Aquarius Water Carriers

In a surprising role reversal, an Aquarius team that has never before been close to contention finds themselves in the thick of it, thanks to Todd Frazier's hot bat and Johnny Cueto's incredible pitching abilities. I mean, Jose Abreu and Scott Kazmir have helped, and when top prospect Addison Russell gains eligibility at 2B, this lineup will start looking a little stronger. The bullpen is still a mess with fill-in A's closer Tyler Clippard only saving one game so far. Changes in the starting rotation: Ubaldo Jimenez and Travis Wood take the spots of struggling Doug Fister and Julio Teheran, for this month at least.


5. Capricorn Goats

This year I'm enacting a Tampa Bay style of this team's name, dropping the "Sea" and having them known only as the Goats. Cuz I've heard of a Mountain Goat and a Billy Goat, but what is a "Sea Goat" anyway? The point is, Hanley Ramirez's power surge leads the team on the offensive side, but I actually moved him out of the shortstop slot due to the emergence of Jose Iglesias. All three 1B/DH types on this roster are struggling, but you have to believe that at least two of the trio of Edwin Encarnacion, Victor Martinez, and Albert Pujols will heat up eventually, provided they can avoid the DL.

Perhaps no player has had more of a hand in the Astros' hot start than Dallas Keuchel, who has evolved into a true ace of a team that is surprisingly relevant. Also Trevor Bauer and Danny Salazar have worked their way into a very strong rotation, although after today's performance, I wish I hadn't given up on Jon Lester so soon. We'll see if he can keep up the pace against a non-Brewers team in his next start.


6. Scorpio Scorpions

Giancarlo Stanton has lived up to expectations as Miami's offensive leader and Sonny Gray is developing into a solid ace in Oakland (with great taste in socks). Two surprise offensive stars are catcher Stephen Vogt, who really deserves some All-Star consideration even in the early going, and second baseman Alex Guerrero, who only made the Dodgers' roster due to a technicality. Greg Holland's injury is softened by Jason Grilli taking over from Craig Kimbrel as the Braves' stopper, but there's still the disappointment that is Cody Allen. The hot starts of Shane Greene and Mike Leake will help make up for Masahiro Tanaka's predictable injury.


7. Libra Scales

Matt Kemp and Bryce Harper lead the offensive attack, and the hot starts of Jose Bautista and Starling Marte have pushed such potential stars Andrew McCutchen and Yoenis Cespedes to the bench. Ryan Zimmerman's eligibility at first base fills the only major hole in the lineup. Then of course there's just Troy Tulowitzki, Robinson Cano, and Evan Longoria holding it down in the infield. You know, just some pretty OK players. On the pitching side Chris Archer and Zack Greinke headline a strong but shallow location, and Jeurys Familia is doing a great job filling in for the suspended Jenrry Mejia.


8. Taurus Bulls

Sometimes even having the best offensive performer in the sport (Adrian Gonzalez) isn't enough to land in the top half of team ranks. Not even when that player is supported by top tier second baseman Jose Altuve and star closer Joakim Soria. But the cold hard truth is that a team needs pitching to win as well, and the team's top starters - Aaron Harang and Alfredo Simon - weren't in the rotation to start the year. (Again, I'm a slave to the rankings, who could blame me!?)






9. Cancer Crabs

For this team, it's Nelson Cruz and pray for rain. Sure, there are a couple of solid infielders (Manny Machado, Ian Kinsler, and Howie Kendrick are holding it down) and the duo of Michael Wacha and Edinson Volquez (when the latter gets back from his suspension) are looking very impressive. But there are no save opportunities to speak of, they don't have a shortstop to replace Derek Jeter, and the rest of the roster is just plain mediocre.




10. Pisces Fish

Rookie Devon Travis has been a nice surprise for the Blue Jays after he was acquired in a one-for-one swap over the offseason and Denard Span and Josh Reddick have both impressed since coming off the DL. But not even three All-Star closers (Aroldis Chapman, Glen Perkins, and Fernando Rodney) can stem the tide of mediocrity that this roster provides. Now to test your predictive skills: raise your hand if you thought Jake Arrieta would have more fantasy points than Clayton Kershaw a month into the season...


11. Gemini Twins

No team has been so badly decimated by injuries as Gemini. They lost a pitcher (Jake Peavy), two catchers (Jonathan Lucroy and Devin Mesoraco), their second baseman (Ben Zobrist), and their shortstop (Jose Reyes), and that's not even counting Anthony Rendon, Josh Hamilton, Matt Wieters, and Matt Moore, none of whom have played yet this season. This leaves Royals DH Kendrys Morales as their top offensive performer. In the pleasant surprise department, Andrew Miller has taken over the closer's role for the Yankees and Bartolo Colon has shined for the red hot Mets.


12. Sagittarius Archers

Josh Donaldson and Wil Myers have been raking with their new teams, but neither of them compares to what Matt Carpenter is doing for his astrology team's last place effort. This team has also seen a lot of its stars head to the DL: Carlos Gomez, Yasiel Puig, David Wright, Christian Yelich all went down, although I'm leaving Gomez in the starting lineup because he's slated to return to the field this weekend. James Shields is the most solid starter, with Hector Santiago's surprisingly good start not doing enough to mitigate the negative point totals put up so far from Mat Latos and Ian Kennedy.


All this work might eventually be moot, because very well might use a "best case scenario" version of each team to determine playoff seeding. But keeping the teams somewhat up to date will give my loyal blog readers something to look at!