Trade Deadline Analysis

It's not that I don't like my Developed Teams Project... it's just that newsworthy events keep happening in and around the Baseball world, and I'm drawn to write about those rather than stick to an arbitrary deadline I've set for myself for finishing all 30 teams before the playoffs. Such as the much more exciting, very real, non-waiver trade deadline that just passed this Sunday. Lots of people changed teams that day. Not as many as some people thought. But still it's been pretty exciting following all the action. Here's a 25-man roster (cuz I like those) made up of all the players who moved this deadline:

So, yeah, that's what it would look like if I were in charge. Rather than go through the above image, I'd like to go through position by position, using the numbered guide (which is how you mark the positions while you're keeping score, if you're curious).

1 Starting Pitcher
MLB: 5
Prospects: 14

Believe it or not, those five above were the only Major League caliber starters who changed hands on/before this deadline. Fister has surprisingly been the most successful, but this wouldn't be the first unexpectedly dominant starter Detroit has picked up from Seattle in recent years. (I'm looking at you, Jarrod Washburn, 2009... and we all remember how well that turned out, right?) The most celebrated pitcher on this list (Jimenez) has put up the least impressive numbers, having fallen from his incredibly fluky 2010. But we should have all seen that coming. I mean, who goes 15-1 before the All-Star Break? WHO DOES THAT?!!? Hopefully he picks things up and keeps the dark horse Indians in contention.

Bedard came back from a nonexistent 2010 to draw attention from a first-place team. It's fortunate that Boston made that deal, since it looks like Clay Buchholz is going to be out for the rest of the season. Edwin Jackson should be getting used to the late-July move routine, after a 2010 deadline deal sent him to Chicago from the Diamondbacks. Speaking of the Diamondbacks, if they are able to hold off the defending champion Giants and make it to the playoffs, Jason Marquis will have been to the post-season at least once with every team he has played for except the Nationals. I mean, that's the case already, but still...

For those of you not familiar with minorleagueball.com, John Sickels ranks each club's top 20 prospects for each year. Of those 14 predominantly minor-league starters who were traded during the 2011 deadline frenzy, 11 of them were ranked by Sickels. Four have B+ ratings: Drew Pomeranz and Alex White, who went from CLE to COL in the Jimenez deal; Zach Stewart, acquired by CHW in the 3-way deal that sent Edwin Jackson to STL; and Robbie Erlin, who helped TEX acquire Mike Adams from SD.

Three more have B ratings: Zack Wheeler, traded straight-up by SF to NYM for Carlos Beltran; Jarred Cosart, who moved from PHI to HOU in the Hunter Pence trade; and Joseph Gardner, another piece of the Jimenez extravaganza. (Looks to me like Colorado got quite a return on their investment. Whether or not these three pieces will be ready to complement Tulo and CarGo before their long-term deals expire remains to be seen.)

C and C+ are average, so no need to mention them here. I will mention Charlie Furbush, 1) because he's got a cool name, and 2) because he has spent some time pitching in the majors for DET before getting sent to SEA for Fister.

1.1 Closer
MLB: 1
Prospects: 2

Just Francisco Rodriguez as the sole Closer of note here, and as this deal happened well before the deadline, I'll assume you've already heard all about it. A couple of guys who have racked up a few saves in the minors, but nobody ranked by Sickels, so we'll leave it be.

1.2 Reliever
MLB: 10
Prospects: 8

Wide open market for relievers this year. Adams and Uehara will help TEX in their push to repeat as AL champions. David Pauley has been a surprising success, and Brad Ziegler's crazy delivery has continued to work for him. TOR gave up two of its big pieces (Frasor and Rzepczynski, which I've learned is pronounced zep-CHIN-ski, according to ESPN) in the same 3-way deal, but got a very promising major league ready player in return, so I endorse that decision heartily. Octavio Dotel also left in that same trade, but he barely missed the cut.

Zep and veteran Trever Miller were the only two lefties moved, while Brian Fuentes and Craig Breslow stayed put in OAK. Tommy Hunter was also traded in the Uehara deal, despite pitching in the playoffs for TEX last year. He spent some time starting in the minors this year, but only appeared in relief in the majors. I wonder if he'll ever get back on track to be a viable starter. It could only help the Orioles.

2 Catcher
MLB: 0
Prospects: 2

Neither of the two catchers (Tim Federowicz nor Julio Rodriguez) were ranked by Sickels in 2011, although Fed did get a mention in Boston's "Others of Note" section. Seems like a very lackluster centerpiece for the Dodgers to get back for Trayvon Robinson, their organization's #3 ranked prospect, who went to SEA to help BOS get Bedard. Maybe it was a future salary dump by Ned Colletti, in preparation for the McCourt divorce proceedings to affect the team for years down the line...

3 First Base
MLB: 1
Prospects: 5

Derrek Lee has been disappointing for BAL, but we'll see if going back to the NL Central and joining a surprising contender (PIT) will pump him up a little bit. Two of the "prospects" listed here (Chris Davis and Brandon Allen) have spent disappointing time in the majors, but are currently tearing up AAA. Not much for them to prove in the minors; now they just have to man up and perform - for BAL and OAK respectively. The only ranked prospect is Jonathan Singleton, who draws a B+ and status as Philadelphia's #2 prospect. Hopefully he'll go some of the way to making Houston a respectable franchise at some point down the line (he's currently in A+ level).

4 Second Base
MLB: 2
Prospects: 0

Orlando Cabrera played 2B for CLE, but will likely move over to SS for SF, since the other guy on this list (Jeff Keppinger) will likely step in the second-sack position. What makes Cabrera better than Tejada is anybody's guess, but thankfully for the Giants, neither of these two were the top acquisition by their team this year.

5 Third Base
MLB: 4
Prospects: 1

The Royals traded both Wilson Betemit and Mike Aviles this year, which was to be expected with one of the best 3B prospects in the game (Mike Moustakas) hot on both of their heels. (Never mind that he's currently hitting under .200...) Jerry Hairston is listed at 3B, but he's also played a fair amount of LF this year, and hopes to help MIL with his diversity. Mark Teahen was basically a throw-in for TOR in the Jackson-Rasmus deal. And the lone prospect, Francisco Martinez (C+ by Sickels), goes from DET to SEA in the ever-present Fister deal.


6 Shortstop
MLB: 1
Prospects: 2

Yup, Rafael Furcal is it, he of the .197 AVG in his injury-plagued first half with the Dodgers. Yamaico Navarro (C+), late of the Red Sox, can play every infield position and might give Yuniesky Betancourt a run for his money in KC sooner rather than later.  Zach Walters (of Note) was tearing up A ball when he was traded as part of the Marquis deal, but might have to settle for a utility role with WAS if he comes up soon, as they seem pretty set at all three infield positions.

7 Left Field
MLB: 3
Prospects: 2

A couple of starters at this position were moved at the deadline - one who was projected to start for the Reds (Gomes) and one who emerged as a surprise contender for the Blue Jays (Patterson). Incidentally, the guy Patterson replaced in the projected lineup (Rivera) was also moved, and he's currently picking up some starts at first base for the Dodgers. Speaking of the Dodgers, they sent their organization's #3 prospect (Trayvon Robinson, B) to the Mariners in the Erik Bedard deal, and didn't get nought back but a handful of unranked prospects from the Red Sox. To round out the list, I feel like I should mention Thomas Neal (B+, SF's #5 ranked prospect) who went to Cleveland for Orlando Cabrera.

8 Center Field
MLB: 3
Prospects: 1

Perhaps no team did as good a job filling a glaring void as the Braves did when they acquired speedy leadoff center fielder Michael Bourn. The Blue Jays will enjoy Colby Rasmus, as he's a tremendous young talent, but they have plenty of offense. As for the other two not mentioned above, Jordan Schafer played in the majors for Atlanta, but he won't make a difference on baseball's worst squad, in this year or the next. And Erik Komatsu, (C+, MIL's 10th ranked prospect) was exchanged for superutility player Jerry Hairston.

9 Right Field
MLB: 5
Prospects: 4

Right Field is where most of the magic happened this deadline. Hunter Pence is one of the most promising young players in the game and Carlos Beltran is a proven veteran who has just this season found a burst of new life. We know how Beltran reacts to the late-season rental dynamic - he went to the NLCS with the Astros after being acquired in a pre-deadline deal in 2004 - but we'll see if Pence brings his game to the next level (i.e. superstardom) while playing for a contender. Ryan Ludwick, on the bench above, will hopefully give the Pirates the additional offensive shot in the arm they need to keep fighting for their division.

The other two major league quality RF'ers are Kosuke Fukudome (who hopes to play Ludwick's role for the Indians) and Casper Wells (a ready-to-play prospect shipped from DET to SEA for Doug Fister). Neither of the minor leaguers at this position were ranked, but three of the four (Chih-Hsien Chiang, Alex Castellanos, and Bill Rhinehart) are tearing it up stats-wise in AA-ball.