Sunday, October 27, 2013

Arkham Origins, Part 3 - Lacey Towers and the GCPD

I emerged from the Final Offer, ready to proceed to the crime scene at Lacey Towers, when I was met with another distraction. Projected high above the ship's deck was a message from an orthographically-challenged villain known as Anarky who had apparently planted bombs all across the city and was threatening to detonate one in just a matter of minutes. This would have been a bit of a problem but for a massive retcon that gave me access to the grapnel boost upgrade (allowing me to launch myself into a glide from a long range grapple), even though according to my earlier case files, the gadget was still in prototype phase around the time of Arkham City. Oh well, you have to give the people what they want, and what they want is MORE GRAPPLING!

Upon arriving at Lacey Towers, one of Black Mask's safehouses, I found that it wasn't quite as safe as he believed. Tied to the chandelier and shot through the heart was Tiffany Ambrose, the main squeeze of Black Mask's alter ego, Roman Sionis. On the floor near the entrance was the body of someone who wasn't Black Mask himself, but who had the same height, build, and taste in headgear: a decoy, mercilessly shot dead by someone who was waiting in the room, probably whoever had strung up the lady friend. But further investigation of the scene showed that there was a third member of the party, someone wearing a white coat who snuck in from the balcony and got the drop on the shooter. The last activity on the girlfriend's cell phone was a worried text to Sionis asking about someone called The Joker. Sionis replied that he was "Nobody that matters," but reading that name for the first time, even though I had no idea who it was at the time, I could tell that something sinister was going on. It's one of those character-defining moments that I will always remember until the end of my days.

While I had a pretty clear prime suspect, it was still unclear who came out on top in the fight that followed and what had become of the real Black Mask. I needed more information, and the only way to get it was to physically hack into the GCPD's server room in police headquarters. As I was describing my plan to Alfred over the radio, he gave me a piece of advice that, for once, I decided to take: return to the Batcave and pick up another gadget to help me deal with the hordes of corrupt cops occupying the building. The Concussion Detonator is similar to the Snap Flash that would eventually be adopted by Robin - I can attach it to an enemy without their knowledge, and after a period of time it explodes, leaving them dazed. My new toy aside, going to the Batcave is always a fun proposition, because it gives me the chance to listen to some of Alfred's unique, w00ts-laden wisdom.

Clearing out the cops guarding the rooftop entrance to the GCPD was no issue, but once inside, I stumbled upon a whole room full of corrupt SWAT officers. Their leader was the baddest egg of all, Howard Branden, who had apparently made a deal with Black Mask to get in on the bounty he had placed on my head. I couldn't hold back a little smile at this piece of information: sure it was one more faction to deal with, but think of how bored I would be if the only skulls I got to crack tonight were henchmen and criminals. Adding some rotten cops into the mix is a surefire way to spice things up. Speaking of spicing things up, you'll never guess who I ran into in the interrogation room: Penguin's arms dealer Ricky "Loose Lips" LeBlanc. Apparently the cops had confiscated a device from him that could not only remotely jam firearms, but also disable encrypted locks on security consoles. Of course the cops, even corrupt ones, couldn't get that information out of him; it took my personal touch to persuade him to speak. And it's a good thing too, because one of those exact encrypted locks was protecting the door to the server room. Funny how things like this tend to work themselves out.

One thing that didn't work out, however, was that all access was restricted to the evidence locker in which this Disruptor was stored. I had to have Alfred examine the schematics of the building to help me find an alternate way through. The drawback to this method was that Alfred's alternate route took me straight through the holding cells, where I had to do battle not only with a group of SWAT officers, but also with the hardened criminals that they set loose, presumably to keep me busy while they focused on collecting that bounty. I have to say, one of the reasons why I particularly like this case file is because I come across so many various types of enemies in it. You've got your garden variety thugs, some of whom wear armor or carry knives or riot shields, but there are also big fellas like the Penguin's enforcer on his ship, who can't be taken down except via a savage beatdown, and Black Mask's skilled martial arts experts, whose advanced attacks require two successive counters to block. (Or sometimes when you counter them, they just stand there doing nothing, screwing with your combat modifier bonus #BugCity) In the holding cells, I had to face off with a thug who was hopped up on the muscle-enhancing drug known to be used by Bane, who required two successful takedowns: one to deactivate the Venom device and another to put him out of my misery.

On my way back to the server room, I overheard an argument between Captain James Gordon, one of the few honest cops left in the city, and his daughter Barbara. I didn't catch what it was about, but I remembered noting that the girl's fiery personality matched her fiery red hair. The Disruptor worked like a charm and I easily made it into the server room only to run into... Barbara Gordon, doing some hacking of her own. She was pretty good at it too; she even helped me devise a plan to access the GCPD's telecommunications hub in the sewers below police headquarters so that I could remotely access the criminal database at any time. I remember thinking that despite her rebellious demeanor and curious slang - she referred to my cryptographic sequencer as a "pwnbox" - it would be great to have someone with her skill set as part of my crime fighting team.

Since apparently meeting one Gordon tonight wasn't enough, I ran into Barbara's father as I was trying to avoid being pwnd by the SWAT team who had finally managed to catch up to me in the server room. We had a nice little chat that ended with me knocking him unconscious while simultaneously saving him from being riddled with bullets from the SWAT team's guns. In spite of the rocky beginning, I knew this would be the beginning of a beautiful friendship. After wading through the sewers (it's a good thing I had already subdued Killer Croc, or this trip might be a little more interesting) and uplinking the National Criminal Database to the Batcomputer, I was able to find enough information to solve the Lacey Towers murder. As I suspected, the crime was indeed committed by the Joker who likely kept the real Roman Sionis alive in order to access his funds in the Gotham Merchant's Bank. I knew I had to rinse the muck off my suit and get going.

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Arkham Origins, Part 2 - Enigma and The Final Offer

The Batwing is a marvelous piece of technology, if I do say so myself. It's more efficient at vertical take off and landing than the Harrier, has a higher top speed than the F-22 Raptor, and has a much sleeker design and a more awesome color scheme. Arkham Island was so small that I didn't need it to get around and I didn't want to have to engage Hugo Strange's TYGER helicopters every time I took the air in Arkham City (although I did use it as a very loud, very vibrate-y courier service to drop things off during both adventures), but on this Christmas Eve caper, it was just the thing to transport me between the auto-drop-off locations at various points in the city. Or it would have been were my signal not being jammed almost immediately after takeoff. I knew this problem would make my life difficult if I didn't deal with it right away, so I put the interrogation of Penguin's arms dealer on hold for now in order to deactivate the jamming signal coming from the closest CGC Tower.

A handful of armed thugs were in there holding the engineers hostage, but they didn't prove much trouble. What proved more trouble - and more interesting - was reconstructing the scene of a gruesome explosion that took the life of an innocent repair worker. Using my advanced Detective Vision, I was able to create such a detailed evidence chain that I could basically watch the event over and over again as if I were in the room. Let me state that this was strictly for crime fighting purposes - this isn't Grand Theft Auto, I don't like watching people get brutally killed just for the entertainment value. Anyway, the keycard I recovered from the unfortunate exploded worker allowed me to hack the encrypted access panel with my Cryptographic Sequencer, leading me to the madman behind the jamming signals in my towers: a shadowy figure called Enigma. The smug brainiac had also gathered a large amount of private information that he was planning on using to extort practically the entire population of Gotham. Obviously dealing with my would-be assassins was the more pressing matter of the night, but I knew I would have to find time to interrogate his data handlers across the city in order to stop mass panic from breaking out.

But the first person I had to interrogate was Penguin's arms dealer, a thug aptly nicknamed "Loose Lips." I had to dangle him off the top of a building to get him to talk, but once he did, he led me to a series of relay points across the city through which Penguin's communications were passing. I had to traverse the snowy distance on foot since my Batwing towers were still being jammed, but I eventually found his hiding place: a disused cargo ship off the coast of Amusement Mile called "The Final Offer." The deck was heavily guarded by armed thugs and the inside was a maze of flooded tunnels, across which I could only traverse by standing on a plank of wood and using my batclaw to pull myself across, a method I would revisit both in Arkham City for both Penguin's museum and Joker's steel mill. Speaking of Penguin's museum, this ship also had a makeshift gladiator pit - the boiler room - in which I had to battle Black Mask's next assassin: a Russian street thug known as the Electrocutioner. I say "battle" when I really mean "give him one swift kick and he went down." I guess there's a reason nobody had ever heard of this guy. The onslaught of thugs that came in afterwards was slightly more challenging, but nothing I couldn't handle.

While I was fighting his cronies, Penguin had locked himself in his office with a couple of his hench-bimbos and placed a cadre of armed guards in the outer room with a hostage: a thug working for the Falcone crime syndicate. It seems that Penguin was attempting to persuade his fellow bird-themed to take themselves out of the weapons trading business by torturing the kingpin's son Alberto Falcone. Now generally I couldn't give two bat guanos about what bad guys do to each other in their spare time, but seeing as I needed information from Penguin, I put a stop to the session before it got out of hand. The diminutive crime lord didn't have much to say except that he had heard about a murder at Lacey Towers, which was a known safehouse of Black Mask's. No sooner had I heard this important plot point than my legs were taken out from under me and I was dragged back into the boiler room.

The architect of this sneak attack was none other than the next assassin on Black Mask's list: the skilled melee fighter known as Deathstroke. Despite his head of gray hair, lack of his right eye, and the fact that most of his fighting repertoire was taken almost entirely from the purple and blue Ninja Turtles, this guy was an incredibly formidable opponent. He first came at me with a Donatello-esque bo-staff, which I was eventually able to take from him and break over the reinforced knee pads of my costume. He then took out a straight Ninjatō, or half of Leonardo's arsenal, which was a little faster and sharper than the staff, but still manageable. The gadget in which I was most interested was a sort of remote grapnel launcher. He would attach one end to me and the other end to an explosive canister up in the rafters, then activate the hydraulic mechanism, which pulled the canister to me at high speeds. I was able to grab it at the last second and throw it back at my assailant, but I knew that I could make use of that device as well, both to pull two objects together, but also to create a high wire/zip line effect for traversing long horizontal distances. I made sure to add it to my utility belt after knocking the assassin unconscious and tying him up, a mistake I failed to make with the Electrocutioner, who had regained consciousness and walked away after our first fight. Oh well, I guess I'll eventually have to deliver another single punch to knock him out again.

Friday, October 25, 2013

Arkham Origins, Part 1 - Black Mask at Blackgate

Hello, loyal readers. It's me again: vengeance, the night, Batman! It's been a couple of years since I shared with you the case files from arguably my greatest adventure ever, the one where I took on Two-Face, Penguin, Ra's al Ghul, Mister Freeze, and of course the Joker, all within the confines of Hugo Strange's Arkham City prison facility. While I doubt I'll ever be able to top that story in terms of pure drama, I feel the time is right to relate another entry from the Black Casebook, a defining moment from early in my career. Over the coming weeks, I will give you the story piece by piece, and hopefully it will give you a unique perspective into the events that made Batman who he is today...

It was a dark and stormy Christmas Eve in Gotham City. I had first donned the Batsuit to fight crime about two years earlier, a fact I was reminded of when a snippet of an interview I did with Vicki Vale came up on the screen as I madly channel-surfed in the Batcave. She mentioned that I had returned from my post-graduate hardcore international training montage two years ago, which I hoped no one would put together with the first sighting of the Batman. Flipping to the next station brought word that criminal overlord Black Mask had staged a highly irregular break-IN to Blackgate Prison, presumably targeting police Commissioner Loeb, who was there to witness the execution of Julian Day, AKA Calendar Man. I suited up in a frantic, jump-cutty montage, amid Alfred's protestations over me going out on Christmas Eve, but he always was somewhat of a homebody. I jumped into the Batwing and before the background music could come to a bombastic blaring climax, I was at the prison grounds, commencing my search for Black Mask.

I rescued Warden Joseph from a particularly nasty mobster in a Black Mask mask, but since he had no information about what the villains might be doing with Commissioner Loeb, I had fight my way through the prison until I got a chance to use my advanced interrogation techniques on another one of his henchmen. Even though I went through that entire fateful night back at the Asylum without having to squeeze information from anyone, being a detective, interrogation was actually one of the first things I mastered. Not surprisingly, I learned that Black Mask was taking his prey to the execution chamber.

I knew I had to act quickly, but to reach the chamber, I had to make use of most of my arsenal of gadgets. You see, during the Arkham Asylum time period, I was going through a "fast and light" phase, resulting in an almost empty utility belt (except for Batarangs and my grapnel gun of course) which gave me greater speed and maneuverability. Both in my early years and since then, I kept items like my Explosive Gel and Batclaw directly in my belt, which came in handy that night as I came across no shortage of structurally weak walls and air vents covered in grates. The drawback was that my suit was more cumbersome, which made my appearance more bulky and my moves more cartoony, giving the effect that I was playing an arcade game of my life. But since I was less well-known back then, henchmen were also not expecting me, so it all evened out in the end.

I arrived just too late to save Commissioner Loeb, who it turns out was in Black Mask's pocket the whole time. With him in the chamber was his number one thug, a giant of a man covered in scaly, reptilian skin who I would come to know very well over the years as Killer Croc. The next thing I saw the crocodile-man do, after throwing the former Police Commissioner into the gas chamber, was to smash a suspicious-looking drone that was flying around the prison. This was years before Obama was elected president, thus it couldn't have come from the government, so I grabbed the memory card to see what I could find out from it. Then I rushed outside into the snowstorm.

Again I was just too late to apprehend Black Mask, who barely had time to escape in his helicopter. But luckily he had left behind his croc monster for me to play with. He was quicker than he looked, even in those stupid striped slacks with dangling suspenders, but even his speed and his thick hide couldn't protect him from a quick flurry of blows, provided I could knock him off balance with my cape first. It didn't help that Black Mask's chopper kept swooping by to drop more henchmen on me, but it did help when Croc would periodically pick up gigantic fuel tanks with the intention of throwing them at me, because I could pepper them with enough quick batarangs that they would blow up in his face.

After a long, drawn-out battle, I finally got the lizard pinned down and made with the interrogation again. Apparently Black Mask had issued a sort of Christmas challenge to a group of assassins, charging them with the unenviable task of taking me down. Croc passed out before I could ask him why sudden beef Black Mask had with me, and I barely had time to drag him away from the cliff face on which the prison was built before I was surrounded by the Gotham City Police Department, led by the very capable Captain James Gordon. It was a shame that so many of them got such a good look at me, but it was bound to happen. What wasn't bound to happen was the police taking me into custody, as I dazzled them all with a death-defying leap off the cliff and into the cockpit of the Batwing, which I immediately flew back to the Batcave to get some answers.

Analyzing the memory card from the drone provided evidence that Black Mask had hired eight assassins, only seven of which were listed: Deathstroke, Firefly, Copperhead, Deadshot, Electrocutioner, Shiva, and Bane. I wondered who the last would be, unless it was maybe Killer Croc, who I already defeated? I also wondered who would be spying on Black Mask, until I recognized the calling card of another established criminal in Gotham, the Penguin. Alfred of course urged me to lay low, but I couldn't risk innocent people getting hurt on my account. I had to be aggressive if I wanted to make it through this night, and the best way to do that was to get whatever information I could from Penguin about what was going on in this City of Assassins.

Thursday, October 24, 2013

2013 World Series Teams from the Past!

In a strange departure from video game industry tradition, Warner Bros. Interactive Entertainment has chosen to release Batman: Arkham Origins, their highly anticipated follow-up to Arkham City, on a Friday instead of Tuesday. I will be picking up my copy at midnight tonight, whereupon I will very likely bring back the live-blog feature I employed for Rocksteady's seminal classic in 2011. Warner Bros. Games Montréal took over development work for the three-quel, in which the lack of truly iconic villains should lead to lower expectations than its predecessor, but I don't doubt that a large contingent of Batman faithful will flock to see the next installment of the series... and I hope that some of them will use this blog to enhance their experience!

But in the mean time, the World Series is still going on. And in honor of Boston's (legitimate or not) Game 1 victory over the Cardinals, I'd like to take a dip into my personal archives and post my lineup documents for the 2000 versions of both competing clubs, the very first year for which I made such lists. Back then I also did a little more legwork, adding up the point totals of each starter (or member of the bullpen) and ranking them compared to the rest of the league - those are the numbers that appear in brackets at the top of each list. First, the winners of nine straight World Series games, the Boston Red Sox:


The squad represented above won 85 games and finished third in the Wild Card standings behind the Mariners and Indians. On an aesthetic note, notice the more descriptive primary logo featuring the two Red Sox (the only part of the logo that survived the 2009 rebrand) set in front of a baseball with the team city and nickname displayed around it. That also means that this team's players had their names and numbers on their road uniforms displayed in the more professional-looking red with blue piping rather than the modern solid blue. The only player in this lineup who stayed with the Red Sox through the rebrand was catcher Jason Varitek, who became their team captain and retired a Red Sox-only player. Varitek was also the most recent offensive member of this team to retire, unless you count 2000 AL batting champ Nomar Garciaparra's tenure as a commentator for ESPN. The only other fantasy-relevant piece of this lineup was journeyman center fielder Carl Everett, who would never again come close to his year 2000 greatness.

The starting staff was basically Pedro Martinez and pray for rain. As evidence of his greatness, I offer this quote that was attributed to an unknown source in this article:
At his peak? I can say without hesitation that I believe that Pedro '99-'00 was the best there ever was and the best there ever will be. I think that no one has ever had as good a two year period as those two Pedro years, and I'm not just talking about pitchers. I don't think anyone's ever been as good at anything as Pedro was at throwing a baseball. I'm talking Einstein's '21 season, Churchill's '41-45 campaign, and Hendrix's '67-68 
Pedro’s ‘99-00 was better.       
To put those numbers in perspective, only five other pitchers eclipsed 3,000 points in a season since 2000: Randy Johnson (who did it four times), Curt Schilling (twice), Clayton Kershaw (twice), Justin Verlander (once), and Johan Santana (once). Johnson is also the only pitcher in that span to break 100 points per game. I don't know if any other pitcher in baseball was ever more deserving of the back-to-back Cy Young Awards Pedro received in those two above-mentioned years. Moving on to the bullpen, star closer Derek Lowe was the only player in this list to play in 2013, and will likely be the last, as he announced his retirement during the season.

Now the Cardinals, who I'm sure will be watching John Lackey's glove/forearm with a pair of high-powered binoculars during tonight's game:


The 2000 Cardinals' 95 wins were enough to win the NL Central, but they fell to the Mets in the NLCS setting up the famous Subway Series. The two biggest offensive producers in this lineup were center fielder Jim Edmonds, in his first year after being acquired from the Angels, and first baseman Mark McGwire, in his penultimate season in the bigs. Looking at Big Mac's PPG average clearly shows that he was injured for much of the year and his game logs confirm a stretch of 56 missed games between July and September - had he played a full season, it's not unlikely that he would have wound up with Garciaparra-esque numbers. The team's best pitcher is also the owner of the team's most tragic story: just two years later, Darryl Kile would be found dead in his Chicago hotel room from coronary disease. He is still sorely missed in the baseball world.

In terms of active players, this team has two legitimate ones and two special cases. The first and most notable special case is that 2000 catcher Mike Matheny is the club's current manager, who has done an admirable job replacing surefire Hall of Famer Tony LaRussa. Utility infielder Placido Polanco was the starting third baseman for the Marlins this year (although no one seems to be quite sure why) and SP2 Rick Ankiel spent time in the outfield with the Astros and Mets before getting released part way through 2013. The other special case is 37-year-old SS Edgar Renteria, who hasn't appeared in a major league game since 2011, but who nevertheless started for his native Colombia in the 2013 World Baseball Classic.

There you have it, a glimpse into the storied past of these two storied franchises. Keep tuning in to the World Series on FOX and watch this space in the coming weeks for a FULL ON ARKHAM MELTDOWN!!!1

Friday, October 18, 2013

NLCS Starting Lineups

Now onto the competitors in the National League, starting with the series-leading (FOR NOW!) Cardinals:


Everyone knew Adam Wainwright was a beast, as evidenced by the five-year extension the would-be #1 available free agent received prior to the season. What no one knew was how effective this team's crop of rookie pitchers would be. Shelby Miller was #6 on Baseball America's top 100 prospects, so expecting a solid season from him wasn't too much of a stretch, but Michael Wacha clocked in at #76 - someone to keep an eye on sure, but not someone you'd expect to be near-unhittable going into October. And BA's #'s 38 and 39 spent their years in the bullpen: Carlos Martinez to prepare for imminent starting duties and Trevor Rosenthal as the closer once Edward Mujica overstayed his welcome in the role. And we haven't even gotten into the unranked rookie relievers, including lefty/righty combination Kevin Siegrist and Seth Maness. I hope the Pirates' resurgence wasn't just a flash in the pan, because this rotation looks like it will be tough into the foreseeable future.

The surprise success story of the Cardinals offense wasn't perennial All-Star and Gold Glover Yadier Molina, slugging stalwart Matt Holliday, or postseason powerhouse Carlos Beltran, but leadoff hitting second baseman Matt Carpenter. Calling to mind another famous top of the order hitter Wade Boggs (Carpenter also qualified at 3B), Carpenter made his bones not by stealing bases, but by getting on base (.392 OBP) and putting himself in scoring position (league leading 199 hits and 55 doubles, which led to his league leading 126 runs scored). Cleanup hitter Allen Craig hasn't played in any postseason games this year due to injury, but thankfully Matt Adams, yet another rookie, has filled in admirably in his absence. But it's not as if their regular first baseman has been brittle all year - Adams was able to carve out so many regular season at-bats at 1B due to Craig's versatility, as he also qualified in both LF and RF. It's questionable what will happen next year: even with Carlos Beltran leaving via free agency, top prospect Oscar Taveras (#3 according to BA) could leave either Craig or Adams without a position.

Now the streaky, Puig-o-maniacal Dodgers:


No one has accounted for the Los Angeles's late-season success more than the fiery Cuban phenom sensation Yasiel Puig, whose arrival in the majors in June more or less exactly corresponded to this team going on an historic 50-game stretch that solidified their position atop the NL West. His emergence would have created a logjam in the outfield were it not for Matt Kemp's seemingly routine rash of injuries. Former right fielder Andre Ethier was able to fill in until he got hit with the bug as well, leading to the un-ideal presence of utility man and player's union rep Skip Schumaker in CF during the playoffs. Don't get me wrong, Skip Schumaker is a great player to have in the clubhouse and off the bench, but starter caliber he hasn't been the last few years of his career. Hanley Ramirez makes the third oft-injured star-caliber player on this roster who would have put up monster numbers had he played a full season at the same level (a Mike Trout-ian 17.3 PPG!). Adrian Gonzalez has been the most consistent health-wise, which is good because they've got him for another five years under that contract they inherited from the Red Sox.

It takes little more than four words to describe lefty Clayton Kershaw: best pitcher in baseball. And he's going to need to live up to that estimation tonight if he wants to keep his team in the running for one more game. He's due to hit free agency after next season, his last of arbitration eligibility, but rumor has it both sides are working on a long term deal that could exceed 10 years and $210 million. Zack Greinke got a little more than half that this offseason and has not disappointed performance-wise, even given the metal plate in his shoulder courtesy of a Carlos Quentin mound charge. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been compared to a Korean David Wells and would likely earn Rookie of the Year consideration were it not for Jose Fernandez of the Marlins. Midseason trade acquisition Ricky Nolasco was passed over for Game 4 of the NLDS and hasn't performed well in his only start so far, but manager Don Mattingly won't have to worry about what to do with him until his club chances to make it to the next round.

I don't want to let my superstitions get in the way of publicly rooting for the team I hope will win, so let me say it here first: GO BLUE! Let's get this one and worry about facing the NL's second best pitcher tomorrow!

ALCS Starting Lineups

From the beginning of my baseball statistics analyzing career, I have been compiling a document containing all the starting lineups and rotations of all 30 teams, complete with fantasy points and points per game. With only four teams left and none of them set to be eliminated before tonight, I thought now might be a good time to post the latest editions of these teams' lists. The offensive portions of my lineups consist of the starting nine batters (I include a DH in each league just for the sake of consistency), listed in an approximated batting order, and any bench contributor with more than 200 AB. Starting pitchers need at least 10 games started (and more games started than entered in relief) and at least 60 innings pitched, while relievers have no innings minimum or limit, but they must not have started more than five games or 10% of their appearances. I added a bonus name below the relievers with the intention of featuring the more versatile P position, which I use to note the decreasingly popular but ever important "swing man" or "spot starter." Pitchers are listed in decreasing order of innings pitched.

The Red Sox go first because they just took a lead in the series with last night's nailbiter.


With David Ortiz completely oblivious that baseball players generally slow down at age 37, Dustin Pedroia still excellent on his slow decline from dominant, and Jacoby Ellsbury being just healthy enough, the Sox have an unprecedented three 2,000-pointers in their starting lineup (only the Reds equalled that amount with Joey Votto, Jay Bruce, and Shin-Soo Choo). That is to be expected from a team that led the league in runs scored. I talked about Mike Napoli in my post about 2014 free agents (along with Jarrod Satlalamacchia and Stephen Drew), but suffice it to say he was a welcome source of power and an even more welcome source of beard. The only player in this lineup to be part of a midseason trade (denoted by the *) was slick fielding infielder Jose Iglesias who ironically was dealt to Boston's ALCS opponents to help deal with the hole left by Jhonny Peralta's steroid suspension.

In contrast to the starting lineup, this pitching staff didn't have a single player crack 2,000 points, but it is solid 1-4, now that trade acquisition Jake Peavy (acquired in the Jose Iglesias deal as evidenced by the ^) made Felix Doubront and Ryan Dempster expendable. Looking at the discrepancy between Clay Buchholz's innings total (he pitched the fewest among their five regular starters), point total, and points per game average (the most among any player in all of baseball), it's not hard to arrive at the narrative of a red hot start followed by a long injury, and we'll see if he can regain some of that early-season dominance against another hot starter Max Scherzer in tomorrow's game, but more about him later. Koji Uehara performed well after being thrust into the closer's role following injuries to Andrew Bailey, who played enough to be relevant, and Joel Hanrahan, who didn't.

Now on to the Tigers, who might have just played their last games at home in 2013.


The two numbers that stand out are the insane, out of this world stats of #3 hitter Miguel Cabrera and staff ace Max Scherzer, who were in fact the number two and three scoring players in all of baseball behind tomorrow's starter for the Dodgers in the NLCS, Clayton Kershaw. Cabrera, who is logically baseball's top-scoring hitter, drove in Detroit's first run tonight (his 4th RBI of the series) in the 5th inning against Boston's most consistent pitcher Jon Lester, after showing us again that his lower half is not 100% by getting thrown out easily at the plate four innings earlier. Even though many of Prince Fielder's primary fantasy stats are down from last year, his 2,000+ points of overall production place him just outside the top five at 1B, a traditionally very deep position. On the other end of the batting spectrum we have Alex Avila who hasn't been able to follow up on his lone All-Star season in 2011 (his time spent on the DL accounts for the presence of offseason acquisition Brayan Pena on the bench).

Also, Andy Dirks fell about 300 points short of a league average LF, which explains manager Jim Leyland's urge to have Jhonny Peralta learn how to play the position in the instructional leagues while he was suspended. Speaking of Jim Leyland, if you've been paying attention to the recent Tigers lineup, you'll notice that he has moved Austin Jackson, his leadoff hitter all year, down to the 8th spot in the order, and it's apparently helped with his confidence, as he's gotten two hits in each of the last two games. I guess it's those kinds of decisions decisions like that have allowed Leyland to manage major league baseball teams for 22 years.

The arrangement of these pitchers shows that Justin Verlander was as durable as ever, racking up the most innings on the staff, despite the fact that he was not nearly the pitcher he was in the last couple of years. Scherzer indeed exceeded Verlander's 2012 performance, losing exactly one game before September, while free agent re-signee Anibal Sanchez also exceeded what Scherzer did last year, leading the league in ERA, making this one of the most formidable rotations in the business right now. Like Uehara, Joaquin Benoit also blossomed into a very serviceable, if below-average, closer after the Bruce Rondon experiment failed miserably (the two top projected relievers according to Sports Illustrated combined managed less than 5x Benoit's output: 245 for Rondon, 70 for Phil Coke).

Next time I'll take a look at the lineups of the NLCS participants, hopefully before one of them moves on to the next round.

Monday, October 14, 2013

Top 2014 Free Agents

As you can probably tell by the dearth of posts here throughout the playoffs, I've been taking the latest in a long line of A's losses to the Tigers pretty hard. It's not just that my favorite team is out of the playoffs in a year where I thought they could have made a long run, but it's the fact that the decisive Game 4 loss came almost entirely at the hands of admitted cheater Jhonny Peralta. When the Oakland brass chose to go with the rookie Sonny Gray instead of already-punished juicer Bartolo Colon in the final game, I thought they were setting up a battle of Clean vs. Dirty. But Justin Verlander's gem insured that there is no justice in the baseball world.

So while there are still a couple of rather exciting Championship Series going on, I've checked myself out and plunged headlong into my yearly self-appointed task of compiling a detailed database of all the players who reached the major leagues in 2013. This task is now completed, which means I can now sort through the data and create lists based on certain criteria. The first is a starting lineup consisting of players who are due to become free agents when the World Series ends.


Starting with the top player, both in terms of 2013 fantasy points and pre-2013 rankings, Robinson Cano promises to make the biggest splash of this off-season by far. He just recently fired the legendary Scott Boras to sign with rookie sports agent Jay-Z, and the Yankees show no signs of wanting to reward the 30-year-old with the 10-year contract he so richly desires. ESPN predicts he's most likely to end up with any of these nine teams, and while I'm sure they've already started doing their due diligence on the matter, we'll have to wait until a new champion is named before seeing how this plays out.

On the subject of a new championship, ten of the remaining top free agents to be have a chance to be on the team that eventually wins the World Series. The Red Sox have the most, with four of their starting nine set to hit the open market. Jacoby Ellsbury has played out his option, with a number of injury-plagued seasons evidently causing the Sox to balk at offering their dynamic leadoff hitter a long-term extension. Jarrod Saltalamacchia is likewise in his third and final arbitration year, but I expect him to stick around in Boston, especially given his dramatic game-winning hit last night. Another slugger who may very well get re-signed is Mike Napoli, who was originally signed to a three-year deal before his physical revealed a degenerative disease in both hips. He renegotiated to one year, but the switch to 1B full time has helped him maintain both his health and his career average power output, so I can't imagine the why Red Sox wouldn't want their best beard back in town. The final Sox player on this list is shortstop Stephen Drew who was signed mainly as a stopgap for top prospect Xander Bogaerts. At least he drove up his stock by proving he can stay on the field for more than 120 games for the first time in three years.

What happens to Cardinals star Carlos Beltran likely depends on how deep their October run continues. He's one of the top post-season producers and if he wins his first World Series ring with the redbirds, I have to imagine they'll make a push to re-sign him. If they fall short, however, I'd guess he finds himself a new home. His teammate Edward Mujica both earned and lost the closer's role this season, which could make some buyers eager for relief help feel squeamish about his ninth-inning abilities - but those 37 saves aren't going away. The two Dodgers on this list both arrived via trade: Michael Young from the Phillies (his second trade in eight months) and Ricky Nolasco from the Marlins. Neither are likely to draw huge interest, as Young's bat has slowed significantly at age 36 and Nolasco hasn't yet pitched in the postseason, despite being named LA's #4 starter. I have Omar Infante on this list just because I felt I needed an infielder on the bench, but I doubt if he is going to light up any general manager's wish list this winter.

Bartolo Colon is listed as the same height as Prince Fielder and 10 lbs. lighter, but I'm not sure I buy it. Maybe he just looks bigger because I'm sure a lot more of Fielder's weight is muscle while Colon's is all in his gut. But you can't argue with 66 points per game, and while he's convinced he can last another three years in the bigs, he's probably going to have to be content with going a year at a time. Another pitcher who's sure to seek a one-year deal, as he has since hitting free agency for the first time, is Hiroki Kuroda, who emerged as the Yankees' most consistent pitcher. He's drawn comparisons to A.J. Burnett, even though it's not clear whether the 36-year-old Pirates ace will play next year. Ervin Santana put up big numbers for the resurgent Royals, but I'm not sure it's much more than a smoke and mirrors act in a contract year.

Speaking of smoke and mirrors, boy was Fernando Rodney exposed after an improbably dominant 2012: we're talking a drop of 727 points last year, or the fantasy equivalent of more than 24 saves. Sure he's got a fiery personality and he did lead his native Dominican Republic team to a WBC championship this past off-season, but in this situation the fantasy adage that you must never overpay for saves has to apply in real life. Another fiery reliever will hit the open market this year in Grant Balfour. While he fits very well into a niche of A's closers who will give their fans a heart attack every time out (see also: Jason Isringhausen, Billy Koch, Huston Street), history would seem to point towards the A's letting him go in favor of young blood at the back end of the bullpen.

For those of you still engrossed in the playoffs, by all means, watch the games and care about who wins. Fans of the remaining 26 teams can tune in here for more detailed and interesting lists regarding potential off-season developments.

Thursday, October 3, 2013

2013 AL and NL Wild Card Teams

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In Christopher Nolan's legendary blockbuster hit The Dark Knight, the Joker said, "If you're good at something, never do it for free." I've been aggregating statistical data about major league baseball players as a hobby for more than ten years now, and in that time I'd say I've gotten pretty good at it. I've developed more efficient workflows and the technology has improved with the result that I can generate more detailed and comprehensive documents than ever before... and yet I still haven't been able to monetize this practice in any way. I continue to create these documents and distribute samples of them freely over this blog because it's a passion of mine, but if any of you loyal readers would like, or knows someone who would like, a more complete, searchable, sortable version of what  you see here, let me know and we can talk price...

The two samples coming at you today are the teams who were the latest to arrive at the postseason party. I can't in all conscience count the Wild Card "play-in" game as the postseason proper because it's the same format as what would happen if the two Wild Card teams in each league finished the season with identical records and had to play a one game regular season tiebreaker. The fact that the Rays and Rangers had to play an extra play-in game to get to the play-in game is just ridiculous, and in light of that ridiculousness, I will start with the official NL Wild Card entry, the Pittsburgh Pirates.


Keep in mind that these bloated rosters are as of the last day of the regular season when September call-ups were still in effect. I figured I did all this work, why limit myself to the 25-man playoff rosters? A little refresher on the color coding: Green in the Pos 1 column means the player is in his rookie season. Notable examples include Baseball America's #7 ranked prospect prior to the season Gerrit Cole, who took the league by storm, accounting for the second-highest points per game total on the team. Yellow in the name columns denotes an off-season acquisition, such as staff ace Francisco Liriano, who was an absolute steal at a cool $1 million bucks, or less than 1/16th of opening day starter A.J. Burnett's salary, and C Russell Martin, whose two HR in the Wild Card game off Johnny "CUETO! CUETO! CUETO!" Cueto led the charge into Buctober. A Cyan highlight means the player was acquired midseason, such as Martin's WBC 2009 teammate on Team Canada Justin Morneau. A Yellow/Cyan split in the First Name/Last Name columns is exactly what it looks like: the player was acquired during the off-season and then was flipped by his new team. Both players on this roster to whom this happened came to the Pirates from the Mets in the same deal.

I know playoffs causes all of us to live in the moment, but for those who like to look ahead to the future, there's the Free Agency column. Impending free agents are highlighted in Red, such as tonight's starter A.J. Burnett, finally reaching the last year of a lucrative 5-year deal he signed with the Yankees in 2009. So this start, his 8th career in the postseason, could end up being an audition of sorts for the 36-year old. The green highlight means that the player has an option on his contract - I haven't differentiated whether the option is held by the player, the team, requires a mutual cooperation between the two, or is guaranteed to vest with certain achievements. Hey, I'm getting better but the system is not perfect. A little research shows that Liriano's option vested based on the amount of days he spent NOT on the DL, while Pedro Alvarez's paltry $700k option is sure to be picked up by the team, if an extension is not reached first. The different shades of Blue denote the three years during which a player is eligible for arbitration, starting with the darkest (fill-in closer Mark Melancon) going to the lightest (1B/RF Garrett Jones, although due to his Super 2 status, he will receive a fourth year of arb eligibility).

As you can see by the Points column, sometimes the most important players to a team are the ones with no highlights at all: Andrew McCutchen, a deserving NL MVP candidate, led the team in points by a huge margin and newly-minted closer Jason Grilli, who would have competed for the unheralded Rolaids Reliever of the year award had he not missed all of August with a forearm injury, doesn't become a free agent for another year. Now let's check out a much more stable - and thus less interesting - team in the AL Wild Card Tampa Bay Rays.


Even though injuries kept their top pitchers from racking up the monster seasons that they deserved, this is still a formidable staff. Staff ace and Sports Illustrated cover honoree David Price shut down Texas in play-in #1, team PPG leader Alex Cobb (concussion notwithstanding) held the Indians scoreless in play-in #2, and they still have 17 game winner Matt Moore ready to start the ALDS against Boston. The additions of swingman Roberto Hernandez (nee Fausto Carmona, the first non-homegrown pitcher to start a game for the Rays in a number of years) and veteran reliever Jamey Wright to add to the setup combo of Joel Peralta and Jake McGee, plus surprising rookie lefty Alex Torres, create a very impressive bridge to WBC-winning closer Fernando Rodney. Even without workhorse James Shields, these hurlers can go toe-to-toe with any club in the majors.

Speaking of Shields, the player they got in return for him could very well go on to win the AL Rookie of the Year award, living up to his #4 prospect ranking by Baseball America. RF Wil Myers hasn't made the splash of Mike Trout or Bryce Harper or even Yasiel Puig, but his boyish good looks and easygoing demeanor are fitting in perfectly with a loose Tampa clubhouse. Speaking of the clubhouse, it seems to have done wonders for perennial problem child Yunel Escobar when he finally found a home after being shipped from the Blue Jays to the Marlins to the Rays in a matter of weeks. Sure he almost collided with David DeJesus last night after he "didn't hear him" calling for a pop fly, but his slick defense has gotten the Rays out of any number of tight spots. James Loney revitalized his career as a starter in west Florida, but despite all the fanfare, he hasn't really put up much better numbers than in his disappointing years with the Dodgers. It's unclear whether Tampa will ask him to return after playing out his one-year deal.

The same is true for last night's hero, Delmon Young, who provided all the offense the Rays would need with a big HR in the 4th inning, was an incredibly smart pick-up by GM Andrew Friedman: a power hitter with a proven post-season track record who was simply cut loose by the phloundering Phillies. His left-handed hitting DH partner Luke Scott is also on the last year of his contract, along with LF/2B Kelly Johnson (why do those positions always seem to go together? Just ask Alfonso Soriano and Chuck Knoblauch). For this team more than any other I can think of, we'll just have to wait and see how the playoffs progress before we can evaluate what they might do in the long winter months ahead.


Enjoy the NLDS games starting tonight on TBS!!!