Thursday, October 14, 2010

Postseason Experience

Most everyone agrees that playing in the Postseason constitutes a qualitatively different baseball experience than playing in the regular season. Although the format of the game itself remains the same, it's easy to point out some vastly different circumstances:

- You're playing for one of eight teams in contention rather than one of 30.

- The games are elimination tournament style.

- Every moment of every game is crucial and receives intense media scrutiny.

Given these discrepancies, it's natural to think that success in the postseason requires a different set of attributes than success in the regular season (see the ongoing debate over the existence of Clutch Hitting). And thus it's natural to think that having experience playing in the postseason can help one develop these attributes.


If you accept the above two propositions as true, then it follows logically that a team employing a greater number of players with significant postseason experience should have an advantage over a team that employs a lesser number of such players.


If all the above is true, than the charts provided below - which show the postseason experience (not counting the 2010 DS's) of the players on each remaining playoff team - could potentially tell us something about who might win the two upcoming league championship serieses. If the above is meaningless - well, at least the charts are pretty to look at.


YANKEES
POS Name Games AB/IP __swp__ swp/g
SS Derek Jeter 138 559 1,923 13.9
C Jorge Posada 111 372 958 8.6
3B Alex Rodriguez 54 199 876 16.2
DH Lance Berkman 29 106 493 17.0
2B Robinson Cano 28 106 227 8.1
RF Nick Swisher 24 71 115 4.8
1B Mark Teixeira 19 76 202 10.6
LF Brett Gardner 14 13 7 0.5
CF Curtis Granderson 13 53 187 14.4
DH Marcus Thames 8 21 36 4.5
C Francisco Cervelli 2 1 -2 -1.0
SP Andy Pettitte 40 249 1,877 46.9
SP CC Sabathia 10 61.1 398 39.8
SP A.J. Burnett 5 27.1 122 24.4
SP Phil Hughes 11 12 74 6.7
CL Mariano Rivera 88 133.2 3,081 35.0
RP Kerry Wood 8 36.2 309 38.6
RP Joba Chamberlain 12 10 88 7.3
RP David Robertson 5 5.1 114 22.8
RP Dustin Moseley 1 1 13 13.0


The Yankees obviously dominate the competition here. Jeter and Posada, both members of the Yankees legendary "Core Four" - have what basically amount to a single season's worth of at-bats. Pettitte and Rivera - the other two members of the above-mentioned group - have logged enough innings to make up for about a season-and-a-quarter's worth. All four have performed admirably.


Other standouts include A-Rod (having appeared in playoff series with both Seattle and New York), Lance Berkman (who slugged pretty well during the Astros' World Series appearance in '05), and Cano (who seems to have struggled a bit under the pressure).

As for pitchers, Sabathia carried the Brewers into the playoffs in '08 and was an absolute horse as part of a three-man rotation for the Yankees in '09. If Phil Hughes and Kerry Wood look like they have disproportionate numbers based on their roles, you're right - Hughes appeared last year as a reliever and Wood started for the Cubs during their '03 Steve Bartman-shortened playoff run.



RANGERS
POS Name Games AB/IP __swp__ swp/g
DH Vladimir Guerrero 29 112 305 10.5
C Bengie Molina 29 91 231 8.0
RF Jeff Francoeur 4 17 40 10.0
SP Cliff Lee 5 40.1 589 117.8
RP Darren Oliver 14 26 190 13.6
RP Dustin Nippert 2 2.1 36 18.0


Oof, not much to say about these guys. We all remember Lee's dominance against the Yankees in last year's World Series, and are interested in seeing if he can repeat the feat in the AL. A fun bit of trivia: Molina and Guerrero played the exact same number of postseason games, both with the Angels, but in different seasons. (However they did overlap in '04 and '05.)


PHILLIES
POS Name Games AB/IP __swp__ swp/g
SS Jimmy Rollins 32 134 362 11.3
RF Jayson Werth 35 123 600 17.1
CF Shane Victorino 32 119 509 15.9
1B Ryan Howard 32 118 490 15.3
2B Chase Utley 32 115 538 16.8
C Carlos Ruiz 32 99 393 12.3
3B Placido Polanco 25 81 177 7.1
LF Raul Ibanez 24 71 204 8.5
3B Greg Dobbs 16 21 39 2.4
OF Ben Francisco 11 11 -11 -1.0
SP Cole Hamels 10 60.2 566 56.6
SP Roy Oswalt 8 46.2 371 46.4
SP Joe Blanton 8 34.2 295 36.9
CL Brad Lidge 32 39.1 908 28.4
RP Jose Contreras 14 45 362 25.9
RP Ryan Madson 24 23 283 11.8
RP J.C. Romero 23 19 170 7.4
RP Chad Durbin 13 8.2 73 5.6
RP Antonio Bastardo 2 0.1 3 1.5
 
Talk about solidarity: five of the starting eight have played the exact same number of games, and they all played them together and all in the last two years. A sixth (Werth) played every game with those other five, but he got an additional taste of the tournament in '04 with the Dodgers.

Hamels pitched all his games with the Phillies, Oswalt pitched all his with the Astros, and Blanton made an additional playoff appearance with the A's in addition to the last two years. Contreras started about half his October appearances, including the '05 World Series against Berkman's Astros, which is why his numbers look a little inflated for a setup man.



GIANTS
POS Name Games AB/IP __swp__ swp/g
SS Edgar Renteria 55 207 523 9.5
CF Aaron Rowand 15 57 139 9.3
LF Pat Burrell 17 55 159 9.4
SS Juan Uribe 16 54 159 9.9
2B Mike Fontenot 5 8 3 0.6
(SP) (Barry Zito) 7 44.1 409 58.4
RP Guillermo Mota 7 8.1 66 9.4
RP Jeremy Affeldt 7 5.1 62 8.9
RP Javier Lopez 8 5 -46 -5.8
RP Ramon Ramirez 1 0 -35 -35.0

Slim pickings here: Renteria's been around the block (who remembers his hit for the '97 Champion Florida Marlins?), Rowand and Uribe are two more members of those '05 White Sox, and Burrell played all his postseason games with his opponents. One notable exception from their roster is the only starting pitcher who has appeared in the playoffs: Barry Zito. I guess Manager Bruce Bochy is smart enough to realize that he's a different pitcher now than he was then: not only much much richer, but he's also much less effective.

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